MUMBAI, March 6 (Reuters) - Indian government bond
yields are expected to edge lower in the early session on
Wednesday, following the decline in U.S. yields prompted by weak
economic data, while investors brace for the significant jobs
data due on Friday.
The benchmark 10-year yield is expected to
hover in a 7.04%-7.08% range, following its previous close of
7.0567%, a trader with a private bank said.
"Bond yields have been as steady as they could have got over
the past few days, clinging to 7.05% level, but the break of
4.20% on the downside for the 10-year U.S. yield could provide
some bullish push," the trader said.
U.S. yields declined, with the 10-year yield
easing to lowest level in a month after the services industry
growth slowed in February, and a gauge of prices paid for inputs
by businesses also fell to 58.6 from an 11-month high of 64.0 in
January.
Weak economic data could nudge the Federal Reserve to
consider earlier action on monetary policy than envisaged, with
the odds for a rate cut in May now standing at 25%, up from 16%
in the previous week, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
Traders now await testimony from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on
Wednesday and Thursday for any cues on policy, which will be
followed by February non-farm payroll data due on Friday.
Back home, bonds did not react to the inclusion of Indian
government notes in another index, as Bloomberg Index Services
said on Tuesday that it would include 34 government securities
eligible for investment via the country's fully accessible route
in its Emerging Market Local Currency Index from Jan. 31, 2025.
"Unlike JPMorgan GBI-EM which is tracking an estimated AUM
of around $230-$240 billion, the BBG EMLC GBI is a much smaller
index, possibly tracking an estimated AUM of around $10-$20
billion, implying India's passive flows impact could be between
$1-$2 billion only," Madhavi Arora, lead economist at brokerage
Emkay Global, said.
KEY INDICATORS:
** Brent crude futures 0.2% lower at $81.90 per barrel,
after easing 0.9% in previous session
** Ten-year U.S. Treasury yield at 4.1584%, two-year
yield at 4.5683%
** RBI to auction Treasury bills worth 340 billion rupees
($4.10 billion)
($1 = 82.8940 Indian rupees)