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Is it a breakout on S&P futures index?
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Is it a breakout on S&P futures index?
Aug 31, 2021 4:55 AM

S&P 500 and NASDAQ set record high again in Monday’s trade. S&P 500 notched its 53rd record close of the year, taking its year-to-date (YTD) gain to 20.5 percent. Is it a breakout on the S&P futures index? CNBC-TV18’s Prashant Nair explains more.

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Market reactions the day after a big news events are always important signals for what lies ahead.

On Friday, there were comments by the Fed Chairman at the Jackson Hole during market hours on Wall Street. We have had a full US session overnight since then. Here’s a quick look at how things are looking now on the world's most widely tracked equity index.

Looking at the S&P e-mini futures contracts data, these are daily prices going back all the way to March 1, 2021. The index has broken a trendline that has capped the scope of gains. The index has had many touch-points on this trendline – in July and in August. It is a good sign for the bulls because it was knocking on the level, respecting it and going lower. Now, it has taken it out. If this break will sustain, one will have a situation where one is looking at about 4,600 on the S&P 500.

What is the pushback?

Is there a pushback to this particular view? Yes. Without going into the macro situation, the valuation, and broader arguments here, some could argue and say that rally has seemed somewhat mechanical in nature given light volumes, the absence of headlines and low summer liquidity conditions globally. Also worth highlighting is market breadth – 51 percent of underlying names in the S&P 500 index actually closed in the red overnight. The same number for the NASDAQ overnight was 58 percent names in the red. That despite the index itself notching new all-time highs.

So, doubts still remain and that is a healthy sign. But many fence sitters may start believing, grudgingly, that the market may not fall in a very big way - as the world's most powerful central bank remains dovish. As for regular corrections and for small corrections, they may be par for the course.

Watch the video for more.

Catch all live market action here.

(Edited by : Sandeep Singh)

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