* Nikkei and Topix hit record highs; JGB yields fall
* BOJ expected to raise policy rate to 1% this week
* Nikkei crosses 69,000 level for the first time
(Updates with closing prices)
By Satoshi Sugiyama
TOKYO, June 15 (Reuters) - Japanese equities leapt to record
highs while government bonds surged on Monday after news that
the United States and Iran had agreed on a framework for a deal
to end their war, fuelling relief across markets.
The U.S. and Iran on Sunday agreed to reopen the Strait of
Hormuz, a preliminary pact that sent oil prices falling but
leaves the fate of Iran's nuclear programme to further
negotiations.
The Nikkei 225 Index surged 5% to close at 69,317.50
after jumping as much as 5.6% and surpassing the 69,000 level
for the first time. The broader Topix climbed 3% to
3,999.60, after rising as much as 3.9%.
"This is simply the market reacting to the ceasefire deal -
nothing more, nothing less. Even a rise of around 4% does not
look unnatural," said Shingo Ide, chief equity strategist at NLI
Research Institute.
"The key issue going forward will be the substance of the
agreement itself and whether it is actually implemented and
upheld."
Japanese government bond yields slumped as a more than 4%
drop in crude oil prices eased inflation concerns.
The benchmark 10-year JGB yield fell 6 basis
points (bps) to 2.575%, while the 20-year JGB yield
slid 6 bps to a more than one-month low of
3.460%.
The two-year yield, the most sensitive to Bank
of Japan policy rates, lost 1 bp to 1.4%. The five-year yield
fell 3.5 bps to 1.865%. Yields move inversely to
bond prices.
In currencies, the Japanese yen strengthened 0.07%
against the greenback to 160.1, continuing to hover around the
160 level widely seen as a line in the sand for potential
official intervention.
The Bank of Japan is holding a two-day policy meeting on
Monday and Tuesday. It is widely expected to raise its policy
rate to a 31-year high of 1% and signal its readiness to keep
pushing up borrowing costs.
While Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida, who will brief the
media on behalf of recently hospitalised Governor Kazuo Ueda,
isn't expected to veer far from the governor's script on the
central bank's rate-hike path, cautious commentary could
embolden yen bears.
On Monday, there were 172 advancers on the Nikkei index
against 51 decliners, with technology investment conglomerate
SoftBank Group pushing up the key gauge by roughly 537
points. Its shares jumped 10.3%. Among 33 industry sub-indexes
of the Tokyo bourse, air transport soared 6.7%, while
energy-explorer mining lost 1.2%.
The largest percentage gainers were capacitors and
electronic parts maker Taiyo Yuden ( TYOYF ), up 22.6%, followed
by semiconductor packaging and electronics firm Ibiden ( IBIDF )
gaining 19.1%. The biggest losers were internet advertising firm
CyberAgent ( CYAGF ), down 5.1%, followed by global soy sauce
maker Kikkoman ( KIKOF ), which lost 3.7%.
70,000 ON THE HORIZON FOR NIKKEI?
Japanese markets have been whipsawed by developments in the
Middle East. Japan, which depends on the region for about 95% of
its oil imports, has seen the yen come under pressure and bond
yields rise amid concerns that higher crude prices could lift
import costs.
Despite geopolitical turmoil, strategists have remained
bullish on Japanese equities on a wave of optimism over AI
investment and the benefits of corporate governance reforms
pushed by the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The Nikkei is up about 31%
for the year.
NLI's Ide said the blue-chip index could temporarily rise to
70,000, but that level looks rich relative to fundamentals and
would need additional positive drivers, such as a full reopening
of the Strait of Hormuz, to hold.
"The valuation for Japanese equities is still low but there
is caution for the Nikkei's current level," said Hiroyuki Ueno,
chief strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Asset Management.
"Today's gain is probably partly led by demand for
short-covering. There are some investors who must buy Japanese
stocks today. But market players who are long on Japanese stocks
would not scoop up stocks at this high."