*
Auto stocks lead rally on reduced U.S. import levy; Toyota ( TM )
surges 14%
*
Bank shares gain as trade clarity bolsters case for BOJ
rate
hikes
*
Fiscal outlook in flux as prime minister denies reports
he's
stepping down
*
Benchmark JGB yields shoot to highest since 2008
(Updates prices, adds additional analyst comments)
By Kevin Buckland
TOKYO, July 23 (Reuters) - Japanese automakers led a
surge in the Nikkei share average to a one-year peak on
Wednesday, after Tokyo reached a trade deal with Washington,
ending a months-long stalemate.
Under the agreement, Japanese exports to the United States
face a 15% levy, down from a threatened tariff of 25%. Specific
duties on autos, which account for more than a quarter of
Japan's U.S. exports, also fell to 15% from 25%.
The Nikkei rallied 3.5% to end the day at 41,171.32,
its highest close since July last year.
The Tokyo Stock Exchange's transport equipment index
soared nearly 11%, with Toyota Motor ( TM ) surging
more than 14%.
The clarity on tariffs bolstered the case for the Bank of
Japan to resume raising interest rates, lifting short-term
Japanese government bond yields.
Longer-term JGB yields also climbed, with local media
reporting that embattled Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba was
preparing to step down, suggesting a shift in the political
landscape towards increased fiscal largesse. Ishiba has denied
the reports.
The 10-year yield shot to the highest
since 2008 at 1.6%, while a 40-year debt auction garnered the
lowest demand since 2011.
The yen weakened about 0.3% to 147.02 per dollar
after initially flipping between gains and losses.
"As long as the political situation doesn't deteriorate too
much more, we suspect Japan's equity rally has further to run,"
Capital Economics head of Asia Pacific markets Thomas Mathews
wrote in a note.
For the rates market, "our sense is that investors are still
underestimating how fast the central bank will hike this year
and next," Mathews said.
Ishiba is facing growing opposition from within his Liberal
Democratic Party for his vow to stay in power despite the ruling
coalition's drubbing in Sunday's election, which resulted in the
loss of the coalition's upper house majority.
Opposition parties calling for debt-funded consumption tax
cuts made big gains at the polls.
The yield on 40-year JGBs climbed 8.5
basis points to hit 3.46%. Thirty-year yields
advanced as much as 6.5 basis points to 3.15%, approaching last
week's all-time high of 3.20%.
Two-year yields, which are more sensitive to
the monetary policy outlook, jumped 8 basis points to 0.83%, the
highest since April 2, when U.S. President Donald Trump shocked
markets with his aggressive "Liberation Day" tariff
announcement.
Expectations for tighter monetary policy also lifted the
TSE's banking index by 4.4%, making it the
second-biggest gainer among the bourse's 33 industry groupings.
The central bank will meet on policy next week.
BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida said on Wednesday that
the trade deal greatly reduces uncertainty over the economic
outlook, but also warned that risks to activity and prices were
skewed to the downside.
"I don't think this (trade deal) alone will lead to a Bank
of Japan rate hike next week, but the possibility of a rate hike
between September and October has increased," said SMBC chief
currency strategist Hirofumi Suzuki.
"However, if anything, political uncertainty is having more
of an impact on the market, and the pressure for yen
depreciation is likely to continue."
(Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Himani Sarkar, Rashmi
Aich and Subhranshu Sahu)