TOKYO, May 2 (Reuters) - Yields on Japan's shorter-ended
bonds fell on Friday amid strong investor demand for these
notes, on expectations that the Bank of Japan will not raise
rates soon.
The BOJ on Thursday kept interest rates steady and sharply cut
its growth forecasts, suggesting uncertainty surrounding U.S.
tariffs and the hit to exports could keep policy in a holding
pattern for some time.
The two-year JGB yield and the five-year yield
both fell 1.5 basis points (bps) each to 0.61% and
0.82%, respectively.
The 10-year JGB yield fell 1 bp to 1.26%.
Prices of those bonds rose sharply, and the corresponding
yields fell, after the BOJ announced its cautious stance on
Thursday. The rally continued on Friday.
"If we take the BOJ's statement at face value, it means that
the BOJ paused the rate hike cycle," said Naoya Hasegawa, chief
bond strategist at Okasan Securities.
"But the cycle may resume again. Depending on the outcome of
trade talks, the BOJ may raise its outlook," he said.
Japan's top economic negotiator, Ryosei Akazawa, held talks
with his U.S. counterpart, and said he aims to hold the third
round of discussions again this month.
Meanwhile, China's Commerce Ministry said Beijing is
"evaluating" an offer from Washington to hold talks over the
tariffs.
TS Lombard strategists said JGB yields could hover at
current levels as the BOJ stays cautious, with inflation in
Japan unlikely to be sustainable as China's massive
manufacturing surplus could add downward pressure on prices
globally.
"The JGB market could prove a main beneficiary of bond
portfolio flows away from U.S. Treasuries," they said in a
report.