TOKYO, July 19 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond
yields retreated slightly on Friday as investors gauged the
outlook for interest rates at home and in the United States
ahead of key central bank meetings at the end of the month.
The 10-year JGB yield slipped 0.5 basis point
(bp) to 1.030% as of 0510 GMT.
Between Wednesday and Thursday, the benchmark yield had
swung from as low as 1.005% to as high as 1.060% after Japanese
Digital Minister Taro Kono said in an interview with Bloomberg
that the Bank of Japan needed to raise interest rates to support
the yen.
The BOJ next sets policy on July 31, with the Federal
Reserve doing the same later that day.
"People - especially foreign investors - raised bets the BOJ
is going to hike rates this month on the back of Kono's
remarks," said Shoki Omori, chief Japan desk strategist at
Mizuho Securities.
However, Omori said that is unlikely to be the case
considering the bank has already pledged a "substantial" cut in
monthly bond buying at the same meeting, and increasing
borrowing costs at the same time would tighten financial
conditions too much.
"If we're going to get a rate hike too with this very slow
growth in Japan, it's going to be a mess."
Omori said the 10-year JGB yield could rise to 1.1% if the
BOJ makes a relatively large reduction in its bond purchases,
but a dovish Fed later in the day could send the yield back down
to 0.9%.
Meanwhile, benchmark 10-year JGB futures meandered
in a narrow range on either side of Thursday's closing level and
were last down 0.03 yen at 143.12 yen.
The 20-year JGB yield fell 1 bp to 1.830%,
while the 30-year yield sank 1.5 bps to 2.135%.
The two-year JGB yield rose 0.5 bp to 0.34%.
The five-year yield was flat at 0.585%.