TOKYO, Dec 9 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond (JGB)
yields declined on Monday, tracking U.S. Treasury yields, while
investors sought more clues on whether the Bank of Japan will
raise interest rates at its monetary policy meeting next week.
U.S. Treasury yields slid to a six-week low on Friday after the
release of November payrolls data, as investors considered the
numbers as a green light to one more rate cut by the Federal
Reserve at its Dec. 17-18 meeting.
The 10-year JGB yield touched a one-month low
of 1.03% and was last down 1 basis point (bp) at 1.04%, while
10-year JGB futures rose 0.15 points to 143.26 yen.
With Japan's central bank set to meet on Dec. 18-19,
investors were also keeping an eye out for a clearer indication
of its interest rate path.
Market expectations have been volatile after media reports last
week suggested the BOJ may stand pat, while normally dovish
board member Toyoaki Nakamura said he was "not opposed to rate
hikes".
Analysts at Mizuho Securities' fixed income department
expect the seemingly inconsistent communications are part of a
strategy to give the central bank flexibility.
"We think the Bank is simply taking a balanced approach that
assumes a January rate hike but keeps open the option of a
December hike in the event of a sharp decline in the yen," Chief
Bond Strategist Noriatsu Tanji and Market Analyst Yurie Suzuki
wrote in a report on Friday.
Markets currently have an about 30% probability factored in
for a rate increase in December.
The two-year JGB yield, which corresponds more
closely with monetary policy expectations, fell 1.5 bps to
0.57%, its lowest since Nov. 21.
The five-year yield slipped 1 bp to 0.71%.
The 20-year JGB yield and 30-year JGB yield
both ticked down 1 bp to 1.845% and 2.25%,
respectively.
(Reporting by Brigid Riley; Editing by Varun H K)