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Palantir ( PLTR ) shift to sharply reduce weighting in mid-cap tech
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Russell reconstitution represents giant liquidity events
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No major rule changes by FTSE Russell this year
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, June 25 (Reuters) - A meteoric rally in shares
of Palantir Technologies ( PLTR ) is likely to leave its imprint
on the final reconstitution by FTSE Russell of its benchmark
indexes on Friday, when investors can expect a crush of trading
volume heading into the closing bell.
Every year, FTSE Russell reconstitutes, or refreshes, the
components in its range of indexes, such as the Russell 2000
index of small-cap stocks and Russell 1000 index
of large-cap names.
Together they make up the Russell 3000 index. There
are also style indexes such as the Russell 1000 growth
and Russell 2000 value.
Friday will be the last time the indexes are reconstituted
by FTSE Russell once per year - other than when initial public
offerings were added on a quarterly basis. The reshuffle forces
fund managers to adjust their portfolios to reflect the new
weightings and components.
"We do pay attention to it because we own a lot of companies
that are on that borderline between being in or out of the
Russell 2000," said Eric Kuby, chief investment officer at North
Star Investment Management in Chicago.
"It does seem to be a positive, obviously, for the companies
going into the index and a negative when they're coming out."
As Palantir ( PLTR ) has skyrocketed more than 460% since last year's
reconstitution, it is expected to move into the top 200
large-caps names in the Russell 1000, creating a void among the
mid cap tech sector.
Steven DeSanctis, small- and mid-cap equity strategist at
Jefferies Financial Group in New York, anticipates that will
create a drop of more than 11.1% for the technology sector in
the Russell midcap growth index.
In addition, he expects Palantir ( PLTR ) to see the most selling
pressure by dollars from passive managers for the
reconstitution.
With about $10.6 trillion benchmarked to Russell US indexes,
according to FTSE Russell, the final moments before the
reconstitution is finalized leads to heightened volume as some
investors attempt to take advantage of additional liquidity to
exploit any price dislocations.
"The fact that we now have non-traditional investors in the
small-cap space for a couple of months does provide additional
liquidity," said DeSanctis. "So if you wanted to make changes to
your portfolio, you have more of an opportunity to do so in the
reconstitution's time frame."
At last year's reconstitution, Nasdaq said nearly 2.9
billion shares, representing a record $95.257 billion, were
executed in its "Closing Cross" in 0.878 seconds across
Nasdaq-listed securities, topping the prior record of $80.898
billion in 2021. Melissa Roberts, analyst at Stephens Inc in New
York, is estimating a $150 billion net trade this year.
While FTSE Russell occasionally makes changes to its
methodology for inclusion into its indexes, this year saw little
in the way of rule changes, although Russell issued a
clarification on its domicile rule.
"Companies are starting to have dual headquarters," said
Catherine Yoshimoto, director of product management at FTSE
Russell.
"It's a more recent phenomenon... it's been happening over
the years, but it really boils down to needing a clarification
because there were enough questions around it."
Companies that are now expected to be included in the
Russell indexes through a change in their headquarters are
Brookfield Asset Management ( BAM ) and Restaurant Brands
.
Companies that are being added to the indexes usually see an
increase in demand, but that does not always translate to a rise
in prices, or what is known as the "wrong way" when the stock
falls.
Roberts notes that while the additions to the Russell 1000
are generally seeing a climb in price, the small-cap inclusions
to the Russell 2000 have declined.
"If everyone kind of has the same idea - there's this liquidity
event, I have these liquidity suppliers who are picking up
shares to facilitate the Russell trade in the market, I want to
force back my position or I want to exit a position," Roberts
said.
"If everyone starts doing that, that's kind of what crowds
the trade," she added.