(Adds further comment)
Nov 6 (Reuters) - The dollar surged and U.S. stock
futures hit record highs as investors bet on lower taxes and
higher interest rates as Republican Donald Trump claimed victory
in the U.S. presidential election after leading vote counts in
crucial swing states.
Fox News also projected Trump to win the presidency.
MARKET REACTION AT 0745 GMT
* S&P 500 e-mini futures rose 2%
* The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note
rose to a four-month high of 4.47%
* The U.S. dollar index was up 1.6%
* Bitcoin hit a record high of $75,060
COMMENTS
KEN PENG, HEAD OF ASIA INVESTMENT STRATEGY, CITI WEALTH,
HONG KONG
"A lot of this is based on investors' view that Trump would
cut taxes or at least keep tax rates low. Now that it's likely
to be looking like a red sweep - additional cuts are possible.
"Deregulation is another major positive for the economy and
markets, particularly for the financial, energy and tech
sectors. The negatives are tariffs. That's going to be negative
for global growth, you know, particularly in China, Asia
(and)Europe... you see inflation expectations rise.
"I think the market is currently still just enjoying the
positive aspects of a red sweep, but I think as time passes, you
are likely to see the risks ... get priced in."
NAKA MATSUZAWA, CHIEF MACRO STRATEGIST, NOMURA, TOKYO:
"I think the market was not yet ready for a 'red sweep'...
if the 'red sweep' materialises, 10-year yields for U.S.
Treasuries could go up to as high as 4.50% and above. Dollar/yen
could go over 155. They're kind of half pricing in that level
right now.
"If Trump can pass tax and spending bills first, then he
doesn't have to rush for the hardline policies against China,
which come rather later. If Congress is controlled by
Republicans Trump can prioritise economic stimulus measures."
MATTHEW RYAN, HEAD OF MARKET STRATEGY, EBURY, LONDON:
"Not only are markets positioning themselves for a
comfortable Trump victory in the electoral college, but the
prospect of a Republican-controlled Congress, which is key in
determining the ability of the incoming president to force
policy changes through the U.S. government."
RONG REN GOH, PORTFOLIO MANAGER, EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS,
SINGAPORE:
"With Trump, market volatility is likely to pick up, so
trading-wise, it does open up opportunities. The volatility
comes from uncertainty surrounding how he intends to follow
through on some of his campaign promises.
"Right now the markets are focusing narrowly on the prospect
of tariffs, because it is the easiest lever to pull directly
under a presidential executive order, but we've seen between
2016 and 2020 other levers that can be pulled to contain China.
"From this perspective, I think a foreign investor is likely
to position more defensively towards China-focused risk."
WONG KOK HOONG, HEAD OF EQUITY SALES TRADING, MAYBANK,
SINGAPORE
"Carnage in HK/China hasn't really materialised because
traders and investors are still awaiting any possible (stimulus)
announcements.
"As for the next four years in general, for a start we may
need to download Truth Social app."
GARY NG, SENIOR ECONOMIST FOR NATIXIS, HONG KONG:
"As Trump's policies in trade tariffs and tax cuts may lead
to higher inflationary pressure and a wider fiscal deficit, the
Fed may be less dovish than before.
"Therefore, the yuan can face higher pressure."
BEN EMONS, FOUNDER OF FEDWATCH ADVISORS, WASHINGTON:
"Markets are growing confident that the election result will
be called and that a 'red sweep' of Congress is possible.
"U.S. Treasury yields are rising sharply in anticipation
that a Republican Congress will pass sweeping tax reform and tax
cuts to create conditions for a favorable investment climate in
the United States.
"With uncertainty seen as negligible, there is a relief
rally in liquidity-sensitive assets like crypto and
economy-sensitive assets like small caps."
HOMIN LEE, SENIOR MACRO STRATEGIST, LOMBARD ODIER,
SINGAPORE:
"If Trump wins, we have to accept a period of volatility for
sure, because it's going to prove quite disruptive, especially
for trade policy and immigration policy, potentially even fiscal
policy, if Republicans end up sweeping both chambers of Congress
as well."
MATT ORTON, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, RAYMOND JAMES
INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, ST. PETERSBURG, FL.:
"I expected yields to move higher, but I am a little bit
surprised just to the extent.
"I start to worry when yields cross the 4.50% mark. If we
don't reverse that upward trend, I would be more reticent to add
too much more risk until we hear from the Fed or get a little
bit more guidance with respect to where terminal rates might
lie.
"Yields are rising and it's more the association of
increased fiscal spending, significantly higher deficits under a
Trump versus a Harris administration."
(Compiled by the Global Finance & Markets Breaking News team;
Editing by Raju Gopalakrishnan, Clarence Fernandez and Catherine
Evans)