March 6 (Reuters) - The Russian rouble made a renewed
attempt to push towards the 89 mark against the U.S. dollar on
Thursday, continuing to trade in a relatively narrow band as
traders closely follow geopolitical developments.
The rouble is up against the dollar this year, mostly thanks
to expectations of improved relations between Moscow and
Washington that could produce some kind of conflict resolution
in Ukraine and a possible easing of sanctions against Russia.
By 0950 GMT, the rouble was up 1.2% at 89.30 to the
dollar in over-the-counter market trade. Morning gains have
evaporated in every session this week and the rouble has
depreciated for six sessions in a row since reaching a more than
six-month high in late February.
Against the yuan, the most traded foreign currency in
Russia, the rouble was down around 0.6% to 12.30.
Without accounting for changes in the geopolitical
situation, the rouble's fair value against the dollar remains
close to triple digits, Renaissance Capital analysts Oleg Kuzmin
and Andrei Melashchenko said in a note.
"The potential for a stronger exchange rate forming depends
on the degree of improvement in the situation with geopolitics
and sanctions," they said.
Any geopolitical positivity can cause the rouble to rise by
another 5%-10%, said Dmitry Polevoy, head of investment at Astra
Asset Management, expecting the rouble to return to the 95-100
range in the second half of the year.
Brent crude oil, a global benchmark for Russia's
main export, was up 0.4% at $69.59 a barrel, after falling to
the lowest since late 2021 in the previous session.