* Quarterly capital spending reaches $18.4 billion,
including $15.8 billion on AI infrastructure
* New compute capital has less than one-year payback, CFO
Johnsen says
* SpaceX signed $6.7 billion in additional cloud contracts
since end of Q2
* Executives expect year-end compute capacity to exceed two
gigawatts
* Shares fall 9% in premarket trading
By Akash Sriram
Aug 5 (Reuters) - SpaceX touted
faster-than-expected returns from its AI spending on its
first-ever earnings call as a public company.
But investors remained concerned about how long its
profitable Starlink business could continue to bankroll costly
investments in data centers and Nvidia ( NVDA ) chips.
The company's shares fell 9% in premarket trading on
Wednesday, dropping well below their $135 IPO price in less than
two months since the company's blockbuster debut.
SpaceX reported AI revenue that more than tripled from a
year earlier and disclosed several new cloud computing
agreements, even as quarterly capital spending on AI climbed to
$15.8 billion.
Chief Financial Officer Bret Johnsen said the economics of
those investments were improving rapidly, but also signaled that
AI spending would remain elevated.
"The current economics have translated into a less than
one-year payback on our new capital deployments for compute,"
Johnsen said, adding that SpaceX had signed another $6.7 billion
in cloud computing contracts since the end of the second quarter
and was on track to reach a $100 billion annualized revenue run
rate by the end of the year.
That stands in contrast to traditional data center
investments, which typically take years to recover their upfront
costs.
"Elon has continued to surprise investors on what innovation
and technology can do, but there has always been a mismatch in
terms of the time frame of when that execution is going to
occur," David Wagner, portfolio manager at Aptus Capital
Advisors, said, referring to Musk's often-rosy outlook at his EV
company Tesla that he has regularly missed.
"I believe the numbers. I would say that yes, those numbers
are aggressive, but it's not a fantasy. The pieces exist, they
just require flawless execution."
THE AI PAYBACK BET
The comments at the post-earnings call marked a shift in the
investment debate surrounding SpaceX.
Before the earnings release, investors largely viewed
Starlink's growing cash flows as the primary source of funding
for the company's AI ambitions. Management is now arguing that
AI infrastructure itself is beginning to generate enough revenue
to finance further expansion.
To be sure, the company spent about $18.4 billion on capital
expenditures during the quarter, roughly a fifth of the $85.7
billion it raised in its June IPO, and remained deeply free cash
flow negative as it continued investing heavily in AI
infrastructure.
SpaceX's AI business generated $2.6 billion in
second-quarter revenue, up more than three-fold from a year
earlier although it remained loss-making on an operating basis.
Even so, the company is not easing off its spending. Johnsen
said capital expenditures over the next two quarters would
likely remain at levels similar to the second quarter as SpaceX
continues expanding AI compute capacity, Starship production and
next-generation Starlink satellites.
"New compute capital monetizes so fast it behaves more like
cost of goods than capex," said Michael Monaghan, portfolio
manager of the Founders 100 ETF, which holds SpaceX shares.
SpaceX executives said demand for AI computing continues to
outstrip supply and that they expect to end the year with more
than two gigawatts of compute capacity. If demand remains strong
enough to keep that infrastructure fully utilized, AI could
increasingly fund its own growth rather than relying on
Starlink's cash generation.
"The relationship between capex and revenue is
unsustainable, so capex has to fall or revenue has to grow
tremendously, and that is where faith in Musk's vision,
engineering leadership and execution track record separates the
bulls from the bears," said Drew Cupps, portfolio manager at
Polen Capital, which holds a position in SpaceX.
(Reporting by Akash Sriram in Bengaluru; Editing by Sweta Singh
and Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)