NEW YORK, June 14 (Reuters) - Longer-dated U.S. Treasury
yields slipped on Friday, after economic data provided the
latest evidence this week that inflation may be cooling, with
the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield on track for its biggest
weekly drop of the year.
The Labor Department said U.S. import prices dropped 0.4%
last month, below the estimate for a 0.1% rise, after an
unrevised 0.9% jump in April as prices for energy products
retreated, another positive sign for the inflation outlook.
The report comes after data earlier this week indicated the
labor market and price pressures were showing signs of cooling.
A separate preliminary reading of consumer sentiment from
the University of Michigan showed a weakening in June that was
below expectations and the final reading for May, while
inflation worries remained.
"We are now resuming the trend of moderating inflation, but
clearly after 1Q disappointments the Fed doesn't want to come
across as saying that the battle is won we can now proceed with
cutting rates without having more confirmation that this recent
improvement in inflation trends are here to stay," said Andrzej
Skiba, head of the BlueBay U.S. fixed income team at RBC Global
Asset Management in Stamford, Connecticut.
"We do not see a reason why September could not be the month
where they cut for the first time but again, they need to see a
few more decent inflation prints to get that confidence."
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
fell 2.9 basis points (bps) to 4.211%. The yield is
down nearly 22 bps on the week, on track for its biggest weekly
fall since mid-December.
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve held interest rates
steady on Wednesday and pushed out the start of rate cuts to
perhaps as late as December.
Skiba also said concerns about the upcoming parliamentary
election in France was weighing on yields.
The yield on the 30-year bond fell 5.6 basis
points to 4.345%.
A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve
measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury
notes, seen as an indicator of economic
expectations, was at a negative 48.3 basis points.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically
moves in step with interest rate expectations,
rose 0.4 basis points to 4.692%.
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester
said in an interview on CNBC that the latest round of inflation
data is good news for the economy and the central bank.
Also scheduled to speak on Friday are Chicago Fed President
Austan Goolsbee and Fed Governor Lisa Cook.
The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at
2.137% after closing at 2.166% on June 13.
The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at
2.184%, indicating the market sees inflation averaging about
2.2% a year for the next decade.