financetom
Market
financetom
/
Market
/
TREASURIES-Shorter-dated yields fall as Fed keeps rates unchanged
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
TREASURIES-Shorter-dated yields fall as Fed keeps rates unchanged
Jul 29, 2026 1:14 PM

(Updates to afternoon trading)

* Fed keeps interest rates unchanged

* Thirty-year yield on track for biggest gain since May

* Crude oil jump fans inflation worries

By Chuck Mikolajczak

NEW YORK, July 29 (Reuters) - Shorter-dated U.S. Treasury

yields jumped on Wednesday on a surge in oil prices before

erasing the gains and turning lower after the Federal Reserve

held interest rates steady.

The U.S. central bank left the benchmark interest rate in the

3.50%-3.75% range, a decision that drew dissents from three of

the 12 members of the policy-setting Federal Open Market

Committee who "preferred" a quarter-percentage-point hike at

this week's meeting.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note

gained 3.5 basis points to 4.639% after climbing to

4.6549%.

"Each meeting we're now building more uncertainty around it than

the last. It looks like September now (for a rate hike), maybe

we're building to that crescendo, but we'll have to see how the

data shakes out now over the interim," said JP Powers, chief

investment officer at RWA Wealth Partners in Boston.

"Looking at the two-year (Treasury yield) before this, backing

up on a day where we have a war escalating, it really shows you

how concerned the market is that we were potentially going to

see rates moving higher today."

Yields were higher earlier in the day in part due to a surge in

crude oil prices, as major fighting in the Iran war resumed and

stoked inflation worries ahead of the Fed's rate decision.

The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically

moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Fed, fell

5 basis points to 4.227% after rising to 4.339%.

Markets had been pricing in a roughly one-in-three chance of a

hike heading into the meeting, as recent economic data

indicating a cooling of price pressures conflicted with the

inflation concerns triggered by the volatility in crude prices

due to the war in Iran.

Recent comments from several U.S. officials, including Fed

Chairman Kevin Warsh, have signaled greater concern over price

pressures than the labor market, which remains on stable

footing.

HIGHER OIL PRICES

Crude prices shot up around 7% after the U.S. and Saudi Arabia

jointly struck Iran-backed armed groups in Iraq on Wednesday,

the first U.S. airstrikes in the Middle East since President

Donald Trump suspended a bombing campaign against Iran last

week.

In addition, Iran said it had fired on U.S. bases in Jordan

and at ships in the Strait of Hormuz, prompting Trump to promise

retaliatory strikes.

U.S. crude settled up 6.56% at $84.46 a barrel and Brent

settled at $90.74 per barrel, up 7.91% on the day.

The yield on the 30-year bond jumped 7.1 basis

points to 5.167% and was on track for its biggest daily gain

since May 15.

Warsh, speaking to reporters in a press conference after the

release of the Fed's policy statement, said that more forward

guidance on monetary policy decisions may be prudent in moments

of financial crisis, such as the 2008-2009 period, but it's

worth revisiting such guidance during more benign periods.

"It sounds like Warsh will take his lead from the markets. If

real yields fall, he may opt to hike. If real yields stay where

they are or rise, he can comfortably sit on his hands," said

Brian Jacobsen, chief economic strategist at Annex Wealth

Management in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.

A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve

measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury

notes, seen as an indicator of economic

expectations, was at a positive 41.3 basis points, its highest

since June 5.

The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury

Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at

2.232% after closing at 2.171% on Tuesday, its lowest close

since November 2024.

The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at

2.24%, indicating the market sees inflation averaging about 2.2%

a year for the next decade.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Dow Jones surges over 900 points with NASDAQ rallying 4%
Dow Jones surges over 900 points with NASDAQ rallying 4%
May 25, 2025
US stock indices rallied on Wednesday as concerns about the trade war calmed down, and following positive statements by US President Donald Trump about Fed Chair Powell. The strong gains came after a report by the Wall Street Journal about Trumps plans to reduce tariffs on China from upwards of 245% to just 50%. Trump admitted on Tuesday that current...
Dow Jones closes higher and marks longest winning streak in 2025
Dow Jones closes higher and marks longest winning streak in 2025
May 25, 2025
Both the Dow Jones and SP 500 managed to close higher on Monday for the fifth straight session, marking the longest winning streak in 2025, while NASDAQ closed higher as markets analyze latest corporate earnings results. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called on China to calm trade tensions, and said the responsibility falls on China for reaching a trade deal....
Dow Jones spikes over 900 points, NASDAQ ralies 3%
Dow Jones spikes over 900 points, NASDAQ ralies 3%
May 25, 2025
US stock indices surged on Monday after the announcement of a trade deal and a lull in the trade tensions between the worlds two biggest economies. The US and China announced a massive cut in reciprocal tariffs for 90 days amid efforts to contain trade tensions and reach a resolution. According to the temporary agreement, the US will cut tariffs...
NASDAQ leads Wall Street higher towards 19,000 points
NASDAQ leads Wall Street higher towards 19,000 points
May 25, 2025
Most US stock indices, except the Dow, rose on Tuesday, led by the tech sector as the trade tensions cooled. Earlier data showed US consumer prices rose 2.3% y/y in April, down from 2.4% in March, and below estimates of 2.4%. US core prices, excluding food and energy, rose 2.8% in April, same as March and matching estimates. US consumer...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved