financetom
Market
financetom
/
Market
/
TREASURIES-Strong jobs report pushes 10-year yields to 14-month highs
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
TREASURIES-Strong jobs report pushes 10-year yields to 14-month highs
Jan 10, 2025 12:04 PM

(Updated with New York afternoon trading)

By Karen Brettell

Jan 10 (Reuters) - Longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields

jumped to their highest levels since November 2023 on Friday

after data showed employers added 256,000 jobs in December, far

surpassing economists' expectations, while the unemployment rate

fell.

Employers were expected to have added 160,000 jobs during

the month. The unemployment rate dipped to 4.1%, below forecasts

for 4.2%.

"This report will fuel yields even higher. The labor market

is not showing any signs of weakening," said Peter Cardillo,

chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New

York.

Traders are now betting the Federal Reserve will wait until

at least June to reduce its policy rate. Before the monthly jobs

report, traders had seen the Fed cutting as early as May with

about a 50% chance of a second rate cut before the end of the

year.

"The market is saying that the Fed can embark on an extended

pause here, and momentum may continue to remain bearish until

data starts to soften," said Angelo Manolatos, macro strategist

at Wells Fargo in Charlotte.

Yields have jumped in recent months on expectations that

policies by the incoming Donald Trump administration will boost

growth and potentially also inflation, though there remains

considerable uncertainty over what policies exactly will be

implemented.

Concerns about the worsening U.S. budget deficit have also

underlined the move, while Fed officials have said that they

will be more cautious about further rate cuts as inflation

remains above their 2% annual target.

"In December, it was mainly the hawkish Fed and less of an

appetite for Treasuries generally, with investors getting more

concerned about deficits," said Manolatos. "Now, so far in 2025,

I think it's been a function of stronger data."

Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields reached 4.79%

while 30-year yields jumped to 5.005%, both the

highest since November 2023.

Interest rate-sensitive two-year yields rose to

4.39%, the highest since July 2024. The yield curve between

two-year and 10-year notes flattened by around 4

basis points on the day to 38 basis points.

Bank of America economist Aditya Bhave said in a report on

Friday that "after a very strong Dec jobs report, we think the

cutting cycle is over. Inflation is stuck above target, with

upside risks."

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said on Friday

that there is no evidence the U.S. economy is overheating again

despite a blowout December jobs report, adding he still expects

it will be appropriate to lower interest rates further.

Economic releases next week will include producer and

consumer price inflation data for December.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Research Alert: U.s. Steel Q1 Margin Compression Overshadows Top-line Beat
Research Alert: U.s. Steel Q1 Margin Compression Overshadows Top-line Beat
May 25, 2025
11:40 PM EDT, 05/01/2025 (MT Newswires) -- CFRA, an independent research provider, has provided MT Newswires with the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows: U.S. Steel reported Q1 2025 adj. loss per share of $0.39 (vs. $0.82 EPS prior year) but beat consensus by $0.08, while Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $172M fell 59% Y/Y...
United States Steel Swings to Q1 Loss, Net Sales Decline
United States Steel Swings to Q1 Loss, Net Sales Decline
May 25, 2025
05:38 PM EDT, 05/01/2025 (MT Newswires) -- United States Steel ( X ) reported Q1 adjusted loss late Thursday of $0.39 per diluted share, compared with earnings of $0.82 a year earlier. Analysts polled by FactSet expected a loss of $0.49. Net sales in the quarter ended March 31 fell to $3.73 billion from $4.16 billion a year earlier. Analysts...
COLUMN-After record import blow to U.S. GDP, beware export sucker punch: McGeever
COLUMN-After record import blow to U.S. GDP, beware export sucker punch: McGeever
May 25, 2025
ORLANDO, Florida, May 1 (Reuters) - Net trade delivered a record blow to the U.S. economy in the first quarter, as U.S. companies ramped up imports to get ahead of the Trump administration's tariff tsunami. While the focus is rightly on imports, it's also worth considering the export side of the ledger and the damage that could be caused by...
Research Alert: Aapl Beats; Buyback Plan Disappointing To Us
Research Alert: Aapl Beats; Buyback Plan Disappointing To Us
May 25, 2025
06:10 PM EDT, 05/01/2025 (MT Newswires) -- CFRA, an independent research provider, has provided MT Newswires with the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows: AAPL posted Mar-Q EPS of $1.65, beating the $1.63 consensus. Sales grew 5% (above our 4% view), driven by an 11.6% increase in higher margin Services segment. We note iPhone...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved