SINGAPORE, May 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasuries rallied in
Asia trade on Thursday as signs of cooling inflation and a
slowing U.S. economy were seen as opening the door to a couple
of interest rate cuts this year.
Two-year yields fell three basis points (bps) to
touch a six-week low of 4.705%. Ten-year yields,
which dropped 9 basis points on Wednesday, fell a further 4 bps
to 4.313%, also a six-week low. Yields fall when bond prices
rise.
On Wednesday U.S. core inflation slowed to 3.6% in April.
That was in line with market expectations but taken by traders
as an encouraging signal after a few months of stickiness.
Flat retail sales in April, against expectations for a 0.4%
rise, also contributed to the sense of a slowing economy.
"It's not a recession, but it's a much awaited and much
needed slowing in consumption," said Naka Matsuzawa, chief macro
strategist at Nomura in Tokyo.
"So that's definitely the prerequisite for any significant
slowdown in inflation toward 2%."
Fed funds futures imply 52 bps of cuts priced in this year,
up from 45 basis points on Tuesday, with the first 25 bp cut
likely in September.
Thirty-year yields fell four bps to a six-week
low of 4.475%. Separately, foreign holdings of U.S. Treasuries
surged to a record high in March, data from the Treasury
Department showed, rising for a sixth straight month.