NEW YORK, June 25 (Reuters) - Yields on longer-dated
U.S. Treasuries were slightly up early on Wednesday as oil
prices rose and the truce in the Middle East increased
investors' willingness to take risks.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
rose 3.7 basis points to 4.33%, and 30-year bond
yields rose 4 basis points to 4.871%.
Oil prices rose on Wednesday after sharp declines over the
last few sessions as investors assessed the stability of the
cease fire between Israel and Iran.
Investors followed Fed's chair Jerome Powell testimony on
Congress for potential signs of timing for the next interest
rate cuts, after Fed officials appointed by president Donald
Trump, such as Michelle Bowman, mentioned the possibility of
cuts beginning as soon as July. "Markets are trying to assess
the probability of shorter term rate cuts", said Gennadiy
Goldberg, head of US rates strategy at TD Securities in New
York.
Trump said on Wednesday morning during a NATO meeting in the
Netherlands he is already considering candidates to replace
Powell next year when his term ends.
On Wednesday, Powell repeated he's open to the possibility that
tariffs may have lower or higher impact on inflation than
anticipated.
So far, markets are convinced the first interest rate cut
will come in September, according to CME's FedWatch tool, that
shows 20% chance of a 25 basis point cut in July and 85%
probability of a 25 or 50 basis point cut in September.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which
typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, was
flat at 3.803%.