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Fed's Powell says December rate cut not guaranteed
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US Treasury yields rise amid lower rate-cut odds
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Government shutdown's effect on data may affect policy
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Meta $30 billion bond sale attracts strong investor demand
(Updates bond yields, adds quotes and Meta corporate bond
issuance)
By Tatiana Bautzer
NEW YORK, Oct 30 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields
continued to rise on Thursday as markets saw lower odds of
another Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December and amid a
huge corporate bond deal from Meta Platforms ( META ) that has spurred
selling of Treasuries for hedging purposes.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell comments on Wednesday about another
interest rate cut in December not being a "foregone
conclusion" caught markets off guard, and lowered the odds on
easing for that month.
Investors flocked to large new corporate bond issues, such
as Meta Platforms' ( META ) $30 billion offered on Thursday.
"There was a very large demand for the bonds, up to four
times the total, and that contributed to higher yields seen on
Treasuries," said Lou Brien, market strategist at DRW Trading in
Chicago.
Meta's spending on AI disappointed the stock market, but the
company was very successful in its bond offering with maturities
ranging from 5 years to 30 and 40 years. The spread over
Treasuries ranged from 50 basis points in the 5-year bond to 110
basis points in the 40-year, according to IFR News.
Wall Street dealers typically look to lock in borrowing
costs for corporate bonds they are underwriting. As part of that
process, a dealer sells Treasuries as a hedge to lock in the
borrowing cost on the bond issue before the deal is completed.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
rose 3.5 basis points to 4.093%.
Investors also worried about how the extended U.S. federal
government shutdown, now on its 30th day, may affect future
monetary policy, considering the lack of U.S. macroeconomic
data.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which
typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, rose
2.6 basis points to 3.612%.
"We may have another month in which labor market data will
not be collected if the government shutdown does not end soon,"
said Guy LeBas, chief fixed income strategist at Janney Capital
Management in Philadelphia. "We expect to have private data
available, but it's not clear how the Fed will consider it".
The odds for a rate cut at the Fed's December 9-10 meeting
are still quite high, 72% according to CME's FedWatch tool,
despite the lack of data, LeBas added. The reduction of import
tariffs on products coming from China to the U.S. also may help
reduce pressures, he added.
A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve
measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury
notes, seen as an indicator of economic
expectations, was at a positive 47.7 basis points, a little
higher than on Wednesday.
The European Central Bank, meanwhile, kept interest rates
unchanged for the third meeting in a row on Thursday and offered
no hints about future moves as it enjoys a rare period of low
inflation and steady growth, even in the face of trade
turbulence.