(Updated at 1500 EST)
By Karen Brettell
March 8 (Reuters) -
Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields fell to one-month
lows after data on Friday showed employers added more jobs than
anticipated in February, though weak underlying details boosted
expectations that the Federal Reserve is getting closer to
cutting interest rates.
The yields moved higher later on Friday, however, as
traders prepared for supply next week and closed positions ahead
of the weekend.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 275,000 jobs last month, above
economists' expectations for 200,000 jobs gains. The
unemployment rate rose to 3.9% in February after holding at 3.7%
for three straight months.
Average hourly earnings edged up 0.1% last month after
gaining 0.5% in January. That lowered the year-on-year increase
in wages to a still-high 4.3% in February from 4.4% in January.
"The headline number was pretty strong but behind the data
there wasn't much strength," said John Luke Tyner, fixed income
analyst and portfolio manager at Aptus Capital Advisors in
Fairhope, Alabama.
The report also showed sizable downward revisions to
employment gains over the past two months.
"All in all I'd say this is a pretty good report for the Fed
as far as wanting to see rate cuts sooner. I think it maybe
debunks a little bit the narrative of the reacceleration that
we've seen the last couple of weeks," Tyner said.
Unexpectedly strong jobs and inflation reports in January
raised concerns that there could be a renewed bout of higher
inflation that could push back the timing on when the U.S. Fed
is likely to begin cutting interest rates.
Traders raised bets that the U.S. central bank will begin
cutting rates by June to 80% after the jobs report, but this
later eased to 73%, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
Consumer price inflation data for February due on Tuesday
will be the next major U.S. economic release to offer fresh
clues on likely Fed policy.
The Fed is expected to hold rates steady when it meets on
March 19-20 but investors will watch for any changes in Fed
policymakers' interest rate and economic projections.
Benchmark 10-year yields were steady on the day
at 4.090%. They got as low as 4.038%, the lowest since Feb. 2.
Two-year yields fell 2 basis points to 4.486% and
earlier reached 4.409%, the lowest since Feb. 7. The inversion
in the yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes
narrowed by two basis points to minus 40 basis
points.
Preparation for $117 billion in new coupon-bearing supply
next week helped yields come off their lows.
This will include $56 billion in three-year notes on Monday,
$39 billion in 10-year notes on Tuesday and $22 billion in
30-year bonds on Wednesday.
The amount banks and fund managers lent to the Fed in
its reverse repurchase agreement facility edged up to $444.80
billion on Friday.