financetom
Market
financetom
/
Market
/
TREASURIES-US yields climb after GDP, claims data point to soft landing
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
TREASURIES-US yields climb after GDP, claims data point to soft landing
Sep 2, 2024 5:24 AM

*

GDP revised up to 3.0%, consumer spending also higher

*

Weekly jobless claims slightly below estimates

*

Market expectations for 50 bp September cut dip

(Updated at 2:26 p.m. ET/1826 GMT)

By Chuck Mikolajczak

NEW YORK, Aug 29 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields rose

on Thursday, after data indicated the economy was on solid

enough footing to give the Federal Reserve room to be less

aggressive in cutting interest rates this year.

The Commerce Department said gross domestic product

increased at a 3.0% annualized rate last quarter, revised up

from the 2.8% rate reported last month, while consumer spending,

which accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy,

increased at an upwardly revised 2.9% rate versus the previously

reported 2.3% pace.

A separate report showed weekly initial jobless claims

slipped to 231,000 last week, slightly below the 232,000

estimate of economists polled by Reuters and consistent with

levels that indicate a steadily cooling labor market.

"The market marginally decreased the pricing for 2024 rate

cuts on the better-than-expected revisions to GDP, which were

largely led by a stronger consumer and the consumer strength is

really what markets are focused on, rather than inflation," said

Gennadiy Goldberg, head of U.S. rates strategy at TD Securities

in New York.

"Going forward, markets are going to be much more focused on

employment and the state of the consumer for direction to gauge

the magnitude of possible rate cuts."

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note

rose 2 basis points to 3.862%, its fourth straight

daily climb, and on track for its biggest one-day gain in a

week.

Markets are fully pricing in a rate cut of at least 25 basis

points (bps) at the Fed's September meeting, although

expectations for a cut of 50 bps fell to 34.5% after the data,

down from 38% in the prior session, according to CME's FedWatch

Tool.

A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve

measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury

notes, seen as an indicator of economic

expectations, was at a negative 2.9 basis points after narrowing

to a negative 1.4 bps, its highest since August 8.

The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which

typically moves in step with interest rate expectations,

climbed 2.9 basis points to 3.896%.

The yield on the 30-year bond advanced 1.5

basis points to 4.146%.

On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President

Raphael Bostic said that with inflation down farther and the

unemployment rate up more than he anticipated, it may be "time

to move" on rate cuts, but he wants to be sure before pulling

that trigger. Bostic is also expected to speak later on

Thursday.

Yields briefly moved higher after a soft auction of $44

billion in seven-year notes, the final auction of the

week, with a below average demand of 2.5 times the notes on

sale. The yield was last up 2.6 basis points to 3.763%.

Data on Friday in the form of the July personal

consumption expenditures (PCE) will indicate whether inflation

continues to cool.

The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury

Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at

2.056% after closing at 2.046% on August 28.

The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at

2.159%, indicating the market sees inflation averaging about

2.2% a year for the next decade.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
ASML, Walgreens, Trump Media, United Airlines, And Tesla: Why These 5 Stocks Are On Investors' Radars Today
ASML, Walgreens, Trump Media, United Airlines, And Tesla: Why These 5 Stocks Are On Investors' Radars Today
Oct 15, 2024
On Tuesday, major U.S. indices saw losses, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.75% to 42,740.42, while the S&P 500 slipped by a comparable margin to 5,815.26. The Nasdaq dropped nearly 1%, closing at 18,315.59. These are the top stocks that gained the attention of retail traders and investors throughout the day: ASML Holding ( ASML ) ASML Holding...
JGB yields slide tracking US peers, unmoved by BOJ policymaker's remarks on rate hikes
JGB yields slide tracking US peers, unmoved by BOJ policymaker's remarks on rate hikes
Oct 15, 2024
TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond (JGB) yields fell on Wednesday, tracking an overnight decline in U.S. Treasury yields, while reactions to a Bank of Japan board member's call for a moderate pace on interest rate hikes were muted. U.S. Treasury yields slid on Tuesday, easing further from recent highs following a soft reading of manufacturing activity in...
US STOCKS-Futures mixed ahead of week packed with earnings, economic data
US STOCKS-Futures mixed ahead of week packed with earnings, economic data
Oct 15, 2024
(For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock markets, click or type LIVE/ in a news window.) * Futures: Dow down 0.08%, S&P 500 up 0.10%, Nasdaq up 0.15% Oct 14 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures were mixed on Monday as investors looked ahead to a week packed with third-quarter earnings reports and crucial data, seeking...
Japan's Nikkei falls nearly 2% as chipmakers track US peers lower
Japan's Nikkei falls nearly 2% as chipmakers track US peers lower
Oct 15, 2024
(Updates at 0200 GMT) TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Japan's Nikkei share average fell on Wednesday, as chip-related stocks tracked an overnight drop in U.S. peers following demand concerns, with Tokyo Electron ( TOELF ) slumping 10%. The Nikkei was down 1.96% at 39,126.71, as of 0225 GMT, and set to snap a four-day winning streak. The index crossed the...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved