financetom
Market
financetom
/
Market
/
TREASURIES-US yields dip after another benign inflation report
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
TREASURIES-US yields dip after another benign inflation report
Jul 15, 2026 8:17 AM

* June producer prices fell 0.3% after a downwardly revised

0.6% increase in May

* Markets pricing in 12.3% chance of July rate hike

* Fed's Williams says inflation may have crested

By Chuck Mikolajczak

NEW YORK, July 15 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields fell on

Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury note on track for

its first consecutive daily declines in nearly three weeks,

after economic data showed an easing of price pressures for a

second straight day.

The Labor Department said the Producer Price Index for final

demand dropped 0.3% last month, below the estimate of economists

polled by Reuters that called for an unchanged reading, after a

downwardly revised 0.6% increase in May.

In the 12 months through June, the PPI increased 5.5% after

rising 6.0% in May.

The softer-than-expected data followed the release on Tuesday of

the Consumer Price Index report, which showed inflation

moderated in June.

"What's going on is that the numbers look decent from the

standpoint of the Fed and what (Chairman Kevin) Warsh may do,

and for the most part, people are sort of not believing it

because they don't see any end to this conflict with Iran," said

Tom di Galoma, managing director of global rates trading at

Mischler Financial Group in Stamford, Connecticut.

"So the conflict is going to get worse and so the fall in

CPI and PPI is really kind of a temporary thing."

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note

fell 2 basis points to 4.565% and was on pace for

its first back-to-back daily decline since June 26.

IRAN TENSIONS CLOUD OUTLOOK

Energy prices have come down in recent weeks on expectations

that a durable peace deal could be reached between the U.S. and

Iran. However, hostilities have intensified in recent days and

caused a reversal in crude prices.

U.S. crude advanced 0.68% to $79.88 a barrel and Brent

rose to $85.01 per barrel, up 0.33% on the day.

The recent inflation readings have led to a drop in

expectations that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates

at its policy meeting later this month, with markets now pricing

in a 12.3% chance for a hike of at least 25 basis points, down

from more than 40% on Monday, according to CME Group's FedWatch

tool. Expectations for a hike at the September meeting, however,

are still roughly 50%.

The yield on the 30-year bond shed 0.2 basis

points to 5.092%.

CENTRAL BANK AWAITS MORE PROOF

Top Fed officials, including Warsh, on Tuesday welcomed the

cooler CPI data, but said they would need more such readings to

feel confident that price pressures are truly easing.

Warsh is testifying before the Senate Banking Committee on

Wednesday.

A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve

measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury

notes, seen as an indicator of economic

expectations, was at a positive 40.3 basis points.

On Wednesday, New York Fed President John Williams said that

while inflation is "unquestionably too high," there are reasons

to believe it may have crested and should soon start subsiding,

with monetary policy well positioned to guide inflation back to

the central bank's 2% target.

The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which

typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the

Fed, fell 3.3 basis points to 4.16%.

The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury

Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at

2.257% after closing at 2.284% on July 14.

The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at

2.247%, indicating the market sees inflation averaging about

2.2% a year for the next decade.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
TREASURIES-US yields flat to marginally higher following durables data
TREASURIES-US yields flat to marginally higher following durables data
May 24, 2024
NEW YORK, May 24 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields were little changed to slightly higher on Friday in choppy trading after yet another report suggesting that the world's largest economy is far from slowing down, which is likely to push the Federal Reserve to hold off cutting interest rates this year. Volume is thinner than usual ahead of the Memorial...
EMERGING MARKETS-Most Latam FX set for weekly losses as Fed rate cut hopes ebb
EMERGING MARKETS-Most Latam FX set for weekly losses as Fed rate cut hopes ebb
May 24, 2024
* Latam stocks up 0.1%, though set for weekly loss * Chile's peso jumps after local rate decision By Shashwat Chauhan May 24 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies were set for weekly losses on Friday as crumbling expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts propped up the dollar, while Chile's peso outpaced peers following a smaller local interest rate...
Wall St Week Ahead-Inflation data, presidential debate could sink summer rally
Wall St Week Ahead-Inflation data, presidential debate could sink summer rally
May 24, 2024
NEW YORK, May 23 (Reuters) - The typical summer slowdown in U.S. stock markets may be more pronounced this year with inflation jitters and an early presidential debate that have the potential to weigh on a rally that has pushed the S&P 500 near record highs in recent months. The S&P 500 is up nearly 12% this year on strong...
Inflation data, presidential debate could sink summer rally
Inflation data, presidential debate could sink summer rally
May 24, 2024
NEW YORK (Reuters) - The typical summer slowdown in U.S. stock markets may be more pronounced this year with inflation jitters and an early presidential debate that have the potential to weigh on a rally that has pushed the S&P 500 near record highs in recent months. The S&P 500 is up nearly 12% this year on strong earnings and...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved