March 22 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields dipped on
Friday as traders renewed bets that the Federal Reserve would
begin cutting interest rates in June in the wake of a string of
corporate earnings reports that indicated some weakness in the
economy.
Yields on benchmark 10-year notes fell to
4.212%, down 5.9 basis points (bps) from their close of 4.271%
on Thursday. Yields had approached their February high of 4.354%
on Monday.
Two-year yields ticked down to 4.593%, declining
3.9 bps from their Thursday close of 4.632%.
The inversion in the yield curve between two-year and
10-year notes widened by 3.4 bps to minus 38.3.
Market expectations of a June start to at least three rate
cuts in 2024 were reinvigorated on Wednesday after Fed Chair
Jerome Powell told reporters that inflation's decline appeared
to be tracking the U.S. central bank's expectations.
Yields rose last week following strong inflation prints for
February, including consumer price index and producer price
index readings that exceeded forecasts.
The Fed held rates steady on Wednesday and indicated three
cuts in borrowing costs are still in sight this year. Powell
said despite recent inflation data coming in hotter than
expected, the numbers "haven't really changed the overall story,
which is that of inflation moving down gradually, on a somewhat
bumpy road."
A string of corporate earnings reports this week helped
strengthen some traders' convictions about the Fed's
rate-cutting path. Luxury apparel company Lululemon Athletica ( LULU )
and restaurant chain Olive Garden ( DRI ), owned by Darden
Restaurants ( DRI ), reported on Thursday slowing sales growth
in North America in the fourth quarter.
"Some of the reports that have come out from companies show
they're really seeing a lot of weakness with consumers on luxury
items and lower incomes," said Bryce Doty, senior portfolio
manager at Sit Investment Associates.
"We're seeing that across the board ... and so I think that
has to be partly fueling what's going on in Treasuries."
Traders in federal funds futures have increased their bets
that the Fed will cut rates in June to 74.8%, according to CME
Group's FedWatch tool.
Markets next week will mainly be focused on the release of
the personal consumption expenditures price index for February
and weekly initial jobless claims.