(Updates yields, adds details on auction, analyst comments,
graphic)
By Davide Barbuscia
NEW YORK, June 26 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields rose
on Wednesday amid a pick up in inflation in other countries,
fears of intervention from Japanese authorities to boost the
yen, and worries around liquidity at the end of the month.
Higher-than-expected inflation in Canada lifted U.S. yields
on Tuesday. On Wednesday it was the turn of Australia, where
consumer inflation accelerated to a six-month high in May
catching traders off-guard and prompting markets to raise the
chances of another interest rate hike this year.
Given the lack of significant U.S. economic data on the
calendar on Wednesday, yields were also drifting higher ahead of
government issuance of $70 billion in five-year notes, part of
$183 billion in total coupon debt sales by the Treasury this
week. Ultimately, however, the debt sale saw solid demand,
analysts said, with the Treasury issuing the paper at a high
yield of 4.331%, below the expected rate at the time of the bid
deadline, a sign that investors were willing to pay up.
"A lot of investors are trying to participate in
auctions because it's a way to get quite a bit of bonds on their
books without materially exposing themselves to liquidity
constraints," said Gennadiy Goldberg, head of US rates strategy
at TD Securities USA.
Five-year yields rallied after the auction,
although they still ended up adding nearly eight basis points on
the day to 4.339%.
In Japan, the yen dropped to its lowest level since 1986
against the dollar, sparking concerns there would be another
intervention from Japanese authorities to boost the currency.
"Markets are a little bit worried about Japan having to sell
Treasuries to intervene in the foreign exchange market, which
would push rates a little bit higher," said Goldberg.
Meanwhile, as the end of the month and the quarter
approaches, liquidity in money markets could become challenging
as dealers close their books, pressuring Treasuries.
"There's a bit of concern about what happens in repo
(repurchase agreements) heading into month end, may be some
pressures there," said Subadra Rajappa, head of US rates
strategy at Societe Generale.
On the monetary side, Fed officials reiterated this week
that more inflation data is needed for the central bank to move
to a less restrictive stance.
On Wednesday, traders of futures contracts tied to the
policy rate were betting on a total of 44 basis points in rate
cuts for 2024. Personal consumption expenditures inflation data
on Friday will be a key factor for investors to assess the
extent of any rate cuts this year.
Benchmark 10-year yields were up about eight
basis points to 4.316%% and 30-year yields added
seven points to 4.447%. Two-year yields, which tend
to more closely reflect monetary policy expectations, were
nearly two points higher at 4.749%.
The gap between two- and 10-year yields remained deeply
negative at about minus 43 basis points, but smaller than on
Tuesday, when it hit its widest since December at minus 51.6
basis points.
An inversion in that part of the yield curve, which occurs
when shorter-dated Treasuries yield more than longer-dated ones,
is closely watched by investors as it has historically signalled
a recession is coming.