NEW YORK, May 20 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields rose
on Monday as investors likely sold government bonds to buy new
corporate debt, while Federal Reserve officials pointed to
uncertainty over the central bank's ability to cut interest
rates if inflation remains sticky.
But with no U.S. economic data releases on both Monday and
Tuesday, investors were bracing for overall quiet trading
sessions ahead of Wednesday's publication of minutes of the
Fed's most recent policy meting, which may provide more insight
on the central bank's views on the path of interest rates.
"It's very quiet ... I think the selling probably has more
to do with new issue deals announced this morning," said Tony
Farren, managing director at Mischler Financial Group, referring
to a slate of new corporate bond sales announced on Monday.
Investors expected a period of consolidation in Treasuries
after softening consumer prices last month strengthened
expectations that the Federal Reserve may be able to cut
interest rates twice this year.
Still, yields - which move inversely to prices - may react
to Fed officials' remarks that could provide hints on future
monetary policy decisions.
"While the lack of any obvious triggers for price action
might conform well with our range-trading thesis, we're all too
cognizant of the long list of Fed-speakers," BMO Capital Markets
strategists said in a note.
"The headlines associated with the various public
appearances will be followed for any tradable insight, although
we're skeptical that the net takeaway from the market's
perspective will be anything other than 'higher-for-longer' as
more evidence is needed on the inflation front before cuts are
seriously considered," they wrote.
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said in an interview on
Monday that "it will take a while" for the Fed to be confident
that inflation is on track back to the central bank's 2% goal.
Fed vice chair for supervision Michael Barr struck a similar
tone, saying that inflation data in the first months of this
year has been disappointing, leaving the central bank short of
the evidence it needs to ease monetary policy.
Traders of futures tied to the Fed's policy rate on Monday
saw a total of about 42 basis points of interest rate cuts this
year, down from over 50 basis points in the aftermath of data
last week showing U.S. consumer price inflation cooled in April.
Benchmark 10-year yields were last seen at
4.441%, about two basis points higher than Friday. Two-year
yields, which tend to more closely reflect monetary
policy expectations, were last at 4.835%, up one basis point.