NEW YORK, Oct 18 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields fell
on Friday as the market consolidated following large yield
increases over the past month as investors price in a less
dovish Federal Reserve due to the U.S. economy remaining
stronger than previously expected.
Traders priced out the odds of an additional 50 basis point
interest rate cut by the U.S. central bank after data showed
much stronger jobs gains than expected in September. Fed Chair
Jerome Powell has also pushed back against the likelihood of
further large cuts.
Traders are now focused on the outcome from the Nov. 5 U.S.
presidential election, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
and the strength of riskier asset markets.
"The market is decidedly in the mode of consolidation;
there's not any obvious potential triggers on the horizon," said
Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates strategy at BMO Capital Markets
in New York.
However, it is "poised to respond to external influences.
Those could come in the form of moves in the equity market,
moves in credit, geopolitical concerns or even the progress
towards the presidential election," Lyngen said.
Benchmark 10-year yields were last down 2.3
basis points at 4.073%. They reached 4.12% on Oct. 10, which was
the highest since July 31 and are up from 3.599% on Sept. 17,
the lowest since June 2023.
The 10-year yields are now pushing up against the 200-day
moving average at 4.17%, but have so far failed to cross above
it.
Interest rate-sensitive two-year yields fell 3.7
basis points to 3.95%.
The yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes
steepened 1 basis point to 12.1 basis points.