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US 10-year, 2-year yields post biggest daily decline in 5
weeks
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Chicago PMI falls in December
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US 2/10 yield curve flattens
(Recasts, adds new comment, byline, bullets, pending home sales
data, details of Chicago PM data, updates prices)
By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss
NEW YORK, Dec 30 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields fell
on Monday, with that of the benchmark 10-year note on track for
its biggest daily decline in about five weeks, as investors
continued to pour cash into the bond market amid a retreat on
Wall Street.
In midmorning trading, the U.S. 10-year yield dropped 6.6
basis points (bps) to 4.553%, potentially its
biggest one-day slide since Nov. 25. On the short end of the
curve, the two-year yield eased 6.4 bps to 4.262%,
also on pace for its largest daily retreat in five week.
"The bond market has somewhat taken its cue from what's
happening in the equities market," said Jim Barnes, director of
fixed income at Bryn Mawr Trust in Berwyn, Pennsylvania.
"Investors did some profit taking in equities and maybe
re-deployed to fixed income. At this point, the bond market is
compelling given the recent rise in bond yields over the past
weeks."
Since hitting a roughly five-week low on Dec. 6, the
10-year yield has gained nearly 40 bps. Wall Street shares, on
the other hand, hit their lowest in more than a week on Monday
amid thin volume.
Treasury yields also extended their fall after data showed
business activity in the U.S. Midwest fell this month.
The December reading of the Chicago Purchasing Managers
Index was 36.9, down from 40.2 the month before. The consensus
forecast was for an increase to 42.8, according to a Reuters
poll.
"Since the end of the Great Recession in 2009, there have
only been seven prints with a thirty handle for the Chicago PMI,
three of those were during the depths of the pandemic period,"
wrote Lou Brien, market strategist, at DRW trading in Chicago,
in emailed comments.
New Orders fell 13.5 points to the second lowest since May
2020, according to the Chicago PMI release, as more than half of
respondents reported fewer new orders for the first time since
June 2020.
U.S. yields didn't really budge even after data showed
contracts to buy previously-owned homes in the United States
rose more than expected in November, notching a fourth straight
month of gains.
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) said on Monday
its Pending Home Sales Index, based on signed contracts, rose
2.2% last month to 79.0 - the highest since February 2023 - from
77.3 in October.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast contracts,
which become sales after a month or two, would rise 0.9% after
increasing 1.8% in October.
In other maturities, U.S. 30-year yields slipped 4.9 bps to
4.761%.
The U.S. yield curve flattened, with the spread between
two- and 10-year yields at 28.3 bps, compared
with 29.5 bps late on Friday. The curve had steepened to 30.3
bps on Friday, posting its widest gap since June 2022.
Monday's flattening was viewed as a minor correction from
the steepening trend seen in the last few weeks. Yield curves
tend to be steeper in an easing cycle, with the short end's rise
under control.