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Jobless claims unexpectedly fell last week
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Treasury to auction $22 billion in 30-year bonds
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Traders continue to focus on tariff announcements
By Karen Brettell
July 10 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields edged higher on
Thursday after data showed that jobless claims unexpectedly fell
last week and before the U.S. Treasury Department was set to
sell $22 billion in 30-year bonds.
The drop in the number of Americans filing new applications
for jobless benefits suggests that employers may be holding on
to workers despite other indications of a cooling labor market.
"Jobless claims came in pretty solid," but the labor market
is showing more signs of weakness, said Rob Waldner, fixed
income chief strategist and head of macro research at Invesco.
"The dynamic is a much more stagnant labor market where
there's a bit of labor hoarding going on. People are holding on
to employees and there's less churn, so it's harder to get a
job," Waldner said.
The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady as it waits
to see the impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff
policies, but the expectation of only a brief inflation uptick
and slowing growth is seen as leading the U.S. central bank to
cut rates later this year.
Invesco anticipates inflation will peak later this year and
fall again next year, which will support Fed rate cuts.
"We're growing a little more constructive on the Treasury
market overall," Waldner said.
Trump on Wednesday announced a new 50% tariff on U.S. copper
imports and a 50% duty on goods from Brazil, both to start on
August 1.
Fed funds futures traders are pricing in 52 basis points of
cuts by the end of this year.
The interest rate sensitive 2-year note yield
rose 0.8 basis points to 3.87%.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes was
last up 1.4 basis points on the day at 4.356%.
The 30-year bond yield rose 0.3 basis points to
4.8785%.
Demand for longer-dated debt will be tested again on
Thursday by the Treasury's 30-year auction. The government saw
strong interest for a $39 billion sale of 10-year notes on
Wednesday and slightly soft demand for $58 billion in three-year
notes on Tuesday.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said last week that there
are no plans to increase longer-dated auction sizes at current
interest rates, which has helped support demand for longer-dated
debt.