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20-year bond auction sees weak demand, yields rise
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Fiscal concerns and tax bill also affect yields
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20-year yield hits 18-month high
(Updates to afternoon US trading)
By Karen Brettell and Chuck Mikolajczak
May 21 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields were mostly
higher on Wednesday, extending their ascent after a weak auction
of 20-year bonds as investors continued to monitor the progress
of a tax bill in the U.S. Congress.
A $16-billion sale of 20-year bonds saw soft demand,
with a high yield of 5.047%, in what was seen as a test of
foreign demand for U.S. debt, as concerns over the fiscal and
inflation outlook increase.
A deteriorating fiscal outlook has captured the market's
attention this week after Moody's Investors Service on Friday
cut the United States' sovereign credit rating from the top
"Aaa."
The yield on the 20-year note climbed to 5.125% after the
auction, its highest level since early November 2023. It was
last up 12.4 basis points to 5.114%.
"The interest rate environment is reflecting concerns regarding
U.S. (budget) deficits, with some estimates around the new tax
bill showing it would add trillions to the deficit," said George
Cipolloni, portfolio manager at Penn Mutual Asset Management.
"(Long-term) yields of 5% with another auction not doing well
is not a sign people are feeling good about the U.S. economy."
Yields at the longer end of the Treasury curve have been rising
steadily this month, driven by domestic fiscal concerns and
worries that President Donald Trump's unpredictable economic
policies will not only stoke inflationary pressures but also
erode the appeal of U.S. assets. Yields in Japan and the euro
zone have risen too this week.
Some investors are concerned that the tax and spending bill
has fewer spending cuts than previously hoped.
The bill faces a critical test on Wednesday as a handful of
Republican House representatives headed to the White House over
concerns it does not sufficiently cut spending.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
jumped 11.2 basis points to 4.593% after hitting a
three-month high of 4.607%.
The yield on the 30-year bond shot up 11.6 basis
points to 5.083% after reaching 5.098%, its highest since
October 2023.
Longer-dated yield increases have been due to "a combination
of concern over inflation and fiscal" issues, with easier tax
policies being a newer factor in recent days, said Stephen Gola,
head of U.S. Treasuries sales and trading at StoneX Group.
Gola noted that hedge funds have been putting on steepener
trades, or bets that longer-dated yields will rise relative to
shorter-dated ones, which could be having an outsized impact on
market moves.
The Treasury will also sell $18 billion in 10-year Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities on Thursday.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step
with interest rate expectations, rose 4.3 basis points to
4.013%.
The yield curve between 2-year and 10-year notes
steepened by 6 basis points to 57.4 basis points.
The break-even rate on five-year U.S. Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities was last at 2.435%
after closing at 2.423% on Tuesday.
The 10-year TIPS break-even rate was last at
2.368%, indicating the market sees inflation averaging about
2.4% a year for the next decade.