WASHINGTON, May 28 (Reuters) - Yields on benchmark U.S.
Treasury notes fell late Thursday morning following a media
report that the United States and Iran had made a breakthrough
in their efforts to end their three-month-old war.
The news site Axios reported Washington and Tehran had
reached an agreement on a memorandum of understanding to extend
a ceasefire pending further negotiations but were still awaiting
approval from U.S. President Donald Trump.
Earlier, yields had eased off session highs following a
batch of mixed economic data showing weaker growth and steady
inflation. The less-than-stellar economic numbers could ease
pressure on the US central bank to maintain or raise interest
rates.
"What the numbers point to today is simply that we have a
stagflation problem," said Peter Cardillo, chief market
economist at Spartan Capital Securities. "And that's a big
problem for the Fed."
Also on Thursday, Iran targeted a U.S. air base in Kuwait
following a U.S. strike on what American officials called an
Iranian drone operation near the Strait of Hormuz.
The renewed violence underscored the fraught nature of
negotiations to turn April's tenuous ceasefire into an agreement
to end the three-month-old war that has choked global fuel
supplies and clouded the outlook for U.S. monetary policy.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
fell 2.2 basis points to 4.459%. The yield on the
30-year bond fell 1.9 basis points to 4.992%.
A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve
measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury
notes, seen as an indicator of economic
expectations, was at a positive 43.9 basis points.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which
typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the
Fed, fell 1.5 basis points to 4.018%.
The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at
2.556% after closing at 2.551% on May 27.
The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at
2.412%, indicating the market sees inflation averaging about
2.4% a year for the next decade.