*
Fed under pressure from Trump administration to lower
rates
rapidly
*
Market fully pricing in at least 25 bps rate cut, 6%
chance of
50 bps cut
*
Housing starts, building permits data softer than expected
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, Sept 17 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields were
little changed on Wednesday as investors braced for the latest
policy statement from the Federal Reserve and comments from Fed
Chair Jerome Powell for clues on the path of monetary policy.
Yields have fallen in recent weeks as a spate of economic
data that indicated a softening of the labor market boosted
expectations the central bank will be more aggressive in cutting
interest rates. The 10-year note touched a 7-month low of 3.994%
last week.
Markets are fully pricing in a rate cut of at least 25 basis
points (bps) from the Fed, with a roughly 6% chance for an
outsized cut of 50 basis points, according to CME's FedWatch
Tool.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
fell 0.4 basis point to 4.022%.
The Fed has been under significant pressure from Donald Trump's
administration to rapidly lower rates, and Trump has attempted
to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook while Stephen Miran, on leave as
the chair of Trump's Council of Economic Advisers, was just
sworn in as a member of the central bank's board on Tuesday.
"The participants of the FOMC have been more in the spotlight
this time around than they've been in the past, and so it'll be
interesting to see, there's so many pieces to this thing," said
Jim Barnes, director of fixed income at Bryn Mawr Trust in
Berwyn, Pennsylvania.
"It's the rate cuts, that's one piece of it, then the
summary of economic projections is another piece, but then the
dissenters and what they're looking for. There was just so much
noise heading into this one that it will be good to probably
just get it behind us, but it's important and it will be
interesting."
The yield on the 30-year bond shed 1.6 basis
points to 4.63%.
Earlier economic data showed U.S. single-family homebuilding and
permits for future construction dropped in August amid a glut of
unsold new houses and a softening labor market, unfazed by
falling mortgage rates.
A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve
measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury
notes, seen as an indicator of economic
expectations, was at a positive 50.4 basis points.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically
moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Fed, edged
up 0.6 basis points to 3.516%.
The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at
2.437% after closing at 2.443% on Tuesday.
The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at
2.364%, indicating the market sees inflation averaging about
2.4% a year for the next decade.
(Editing by Nick Zieminski)