(Updated at 2:21 p.m. ET/ 1821 GMT)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, July 31 (Reuters) -
Longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields pared declines but were
still slightly lower on Wednesday while shorter-duration debt
was rose, after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates at their
current levels, as was widely expected.
While the central bank
held rates
steady, the door was opened to reduce borrowing costs as
soon as its next meeting in September as inflation draws closer
to its 2% target rate.
"The Fed is tiptoeing towards being confident enough to
cut," said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth
Management in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.
"Adding that they are attentive to the risks to both
sides of their dual mandate tees them up to cut in September if
the next two CPI reports are well-behaved."
Yields were lower before the Fed statement after
economic data indicated a slowing in the labor market and wage
growth indicating the central bank has some cushion to cut rates
this year.
The ADP National Employment Report showed private payrolls
rose by 122,000 jobs this month, short of the 150,000 of
economists polled by Reuters, after advancing by an upwardly
revised 155,000 in June.
In addition, the employment cost index (ECI), the broadest
measure of labor costs, increased 0.9% last quarter, below the
1.0% estimate, after rising by an unrevised 1.2% in the first
quarter, another sign inflation is cooling.
Recent inflation data such as the consumer price index (CPI)
has fueled expectations recently the Fed will be in position to
cut rates this year.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
fell 1.7 basis points, its fifth straight session of
declines, to 4.124% after dropping to 4.091%, its lowest level
since March 12.
The reports were on the heels of job openings data on
Tuesday suggested a gradual slowing in the labor market and
ahead of a the key government payrolls report on Friday.
The yield on the 30-year bond was also lower for
a fifth straight session and was last down 3 basis points to
4.369% after hitting a six-week low of 4.342%.
Treasury said earlier on Wednesday that it does not expect
to increase auction sizes for U.S. notes and bonds over the next
several quarters, as it announced total refunding of $125
billion for the August to October quarter.
A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve
measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury
notes, seen as an indicator of economic
expectations, was at a negative 25.5 basis points.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically
moves in step with interest rate expectations,
rose 1.8 basis points to 4.377% after falling to 4.33%, its
lowest since February 2.
The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at
2.14% after closing at 2.133% on July 30.
The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at
2.231%, indicating the market sees inflation averaging about
2.2% a year for the next decade.