NEW YORK, Dec 5 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields were
higher on Thursday morning as investors digested slightly higher
jobless claims data ahead of the more significant nonfarm
payrolls data expected on Friday.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
rose 2.9 basis points to 4.211%. The two-year
U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step
with interest rate expectations, rose 5.6 basis points to
4.177%.
The part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve measuring the gap
between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury notes
, seen as an indicator of economic expectations,
flattened to 3.2 basis points. The number of Americans
filing new applications for unemployment benefits increased
moderately last week, suggesting the labor market continued to
steadily cool. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits
rose 9,000 to a seasonally adjusted 224,000 for the week ended
Nov. 30, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Economists
polled by Reuters had forecast 215,000 claims for the latest
week.
"Jobless claims were much ado about nothing; even with the
9,000 bump in the most recent filing week, claims remain at a
very low level. Meanwhile, continuing claims remain elevated,
showing the slow firing and hiring trend in the U.S. labor
market," said Jason Ware, chief investment officer and chief
economist at Albion Financial Group in Salt Lake City.
Markets are now shifting focus to more relevant data about
the job market and inflation scheduled to be released ahead of
the Dec. 17-18 Federal Reserve meeting, said Mike Lorizio,
senior fixed income trader at Manulife Investment Management in
Boston.
"Between now and the meeting, there's so much economic data,
the payrolls on Friday, CPI and PPI next week, markets will look
at the numbers as crucial to (the) Fed's decision," he said.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell appeared to signal on Wednesday
support for a slower pace of rate cuts ahead, when he said the
economy was stronger at this point than the central bank had
expected in September. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly
added there was "no sense of urgency" on reducing borrowing
costs further.
But markets still see high odds of a 25-basis point rate cut
in this month's meeting. CME's FedWatch tool on Thursday showed
a 73.8% chance of a December rate cut, slightly lower than the
75% chance late on Wednesday.
Comments from Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin are due
later in the day.
The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at
2.386% after closing at 2.383% on Dec. 4. The 10-year TIPS
breakeven rate was last at 2.291%, indicating
the market sees inflation averaging about 2.3% a year for the
next decade.