(Updated at 2:08 p.m. ET/1808 GMT)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, June 10 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields were
mostly higher on Monday as investors awaited key inflation data
and the Federal Reserve's policy announcement later in the week,
following a stronger-than-expected jobs report on Friday.
Yields jumped on Friday following the payrolls report from
the Labor Department, reversing declines earlier in the week
after other data indicated the labor market could be cooling.
On Wednesday morning consumer price index (CPI) data will be
released. Signs that inflation may be easing could alter market
expectations for the Fed's path of interest rates.
The central bank is scheduled to release its policy
statement on Wednesday afternoon at the close of its two-day
meeting and will also give its economic projections.
"Within an environment where investors really don't know
which way this is heading, people are really getting anxious for
the Fed meeting," said Jim Barnes, director of fixed income at
Bryn Mawr Trust in Berwyn, Pennsylvania.
"It seems that everybody is itching for a rate cut, but it's
not justified as of yet. And so they're clinging on Wednesday
morning, CPI data, hoping that'll give us more direction and
additional commentary from the Fed later on that afternoon,
trying to get some clarity."
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
on Monday rose 4.3 basis points to 4.471%.
The yield on the 30-year bond gained 4.9 basis
points to 4.597%.
The Fed is widely expected to keep rates steady at this
week's meeting, while the probability of a cut of at least 25
basis points at the September meeting is roughly 50%, according
to CME's FedWatch Tool, down from nearly 60% a week ago, as the
strong jobs report raised some uncertainty about the timing of a
rate cut.
Ahead of the Fed meeting, bond investors, worried about
persistently sticky inflation, have reduced their exposure to
longer-dated U.S. Treasuries.
An auction of $58 billion in three-year notes on Monday
was described as weak by analysts, with a below-average demand
of 2.43 times the notes on sale and a high yield of 4.659%.
The U.S. Treasury Department will also sell $39 billion in
10-year notes on Tuesday and $22 billion in 30-year bonds on
Thursday.
A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve
measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury
notes, seen as an indicator of economic
expectations, was at a negative 41.88 basis points.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically
moves in step with interest rate expectations, edged 1.7 basis
points higher to 4.887%.
The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at
2.304% after closing at 2.291% on June 7.
The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at
2.314%, indicating the market sees inflation averaging about
2.3% a year for the next decade.