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Trump says US will have total, permanent access to
Greenland
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Even with Greenland deal, caution persists -strategist
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US data mixed, inflation benign, but little rates reaction
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US yield curve continues to flatten, as tariff risk off
for now
By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss
NEW YORK, Jan 22 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields rose
on Thursday, but remained confined to a narrow range, as
investors prepared for bouts of volatility and awaited clarity
on the Greenland framework deal negotiated by President Trump
with European leaders.
Trump said on Thursday he had secured total and permanent U.S.
access to Greenland in a deal with NATO, whose head said allies
would have to step up their commitment to Arctic security to
ward off threats from Russia and China.
His comments came a day after Trump withdrew his tariff
threats on European goods and ruled out taking Greenland by
force. That calmed bond investors who had sold Treasuries the
last few days amid global tension between the United States and
Europe.
"A little bit of the policy shock has been taken off the
table, but only for the moment. And it is a relief, but at the
same time, it increased the market's wariness around the
potential for this to happen again," said Tony Rodriguez, head
of fixed income strategy at Nuveen.
"They're currently discussing a framework for Greenland but
this can easily go off the rails. So geopolitical risk from
tariffs specifically from a policy perspective is probably going
to remain a risk factor for the market, more than people thought
maybe a month ago."
In late morning trading, the benchmark U.S. 10-year yield
rose 1.6 basis points (bps) to 4.271%, after
climbing on Tuesday to its loftiest level since late August.
U.S. 30-year bond yields were slightly up at 4.871%
. On Tuesday, they rose to their highest since early
September.
On the front end of the curve, the U.S. 2-year yield was up
2.4 bps at 3.621%.
Thursday's U.S. economic reports were mixed, but had little
impact on Treasuries.
Data showed the number of Americans filing new applications for
unemployment benefits increased marginally last week by 1,000 to
a seasonally adjusted 200,000 for the week ended January 17.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 210,000 claims for the
latest week.
A separate report from the Commerce Department's Bureau of
Economic Analysis showed GDP increased at an upwardly revised
4.4% annualized rate, the fastest pace since the third quarter
of 2023. The economy was initially estimated to have grown at a
4.3% rate in the July-September quarter. It grew at a 3.8% pace
in the second quarter.
In other parts of the bond market, the yield curve continued
to flatten on Thursday as the threat of tariffs was off the
radar for now. The spread between two-year and 10-year yields
narrowed to 64.8 bps from 65.4 bps the previous session.
It had steepened to as much as 70.9 bps on
Tuesday, the largest gap in roughly two weeks, reflecting market
concerns about sticky inflation.
Data, however, showed generally benign inflation numbers for
October and November amid a government shutdown.
The PCE price index grew 0.2% in November, matching October's
gain. In the 12 months through November, the PCE price index
climbed 2.8% after rising 2.7% in October.
Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the PCE
price index rose 0.2%, with the same margin in October. In the
12 months through November, the so-called core inflation
increased 2.8% after advancing 2.7% in October.
Analysts, however, said inflation numbers are currently
expected to come in at a stronger pace in December.