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Improving risk appetite reduces demand for Treasuries
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Trump to decide on Iran response in next two weeks
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Fed's Waller says bank should consider cutting rates
By Karen Brettell
June 20 (Reuters) - Longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields
rose on Friday as stock markets rallied, reducing safe-haven
demand for the bonds, and after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome
Powell on Wednesday said policymakers expect inflation to rise
over the summer.
Stocks climbed after the White House said on Thursday that
President Donald Trump would decide on potential U.S.
involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict in the next two weeks,
citing possible negotiations involving Iran soon.
Iran said on Friday it would not discuss the future of its
nuclear program while under attack by Israel, as Europe tried to
coax Tehran back into negotiations.
"There's a bit of a risk-on trade going on, meaning people
aren't really piling into Treasuries," said Tom di Galoma,
managing director at Mischler Financial Group.
U.S. government debt is catching up to yield increases on
Thursday in European bonds, di Galoma said. U.S. markets were
closed on Thursday for the federal Juneteenth holiday.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes was
last up 1.6 basis points at 4.411%. The interest-rate-sensitive
2-year note yield fell 0.2 basis points to 3.939%.
The yield curve between 2-year and 10-year notes
steepened by around 2 basis points to 48 basis
points.
Yields edged higher after comments from Fed's Powell at the
conclusion of the U.S. central bank's two-day meeting on
Wednesday were interpreted as slightly hawkish.
The Fed held interest rates steady and policymakers signaled
borrowing costs are still likely to fall in 2025. But Powell
cautioned against putting too much weight on that view, and said
he expects "meaningful" inflation ahead as consumers pay more
for goods due to the Trump administration's planned import
tariffs.
"Market reaction suggests a slightly hawkish read for the
June FOMC," Bank of America credit strategists Yuri Seliger and
Sohyun Marie Lee said in a report, referring to the Federal Open
Market Committee. "However, the bigger picture is that the FOMC
meetings had little market impact this year, and the June
meeting was no exception."
Fed funds futures traders are pricing in 49 basis points of
cuts by December, indicating they continue to see two
25-basis-point rate reductions as most likely.
Fed Governor Chris Waller said on Friday the U.S. central bank
should consider cutting interest rates at its next meeting,
given recent tame inflation data and the fact that any price
shock from import tariffs will be short-lived.