(Adds details of ADP data, analyst comment, updates yields)
By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss
NEW YORK, Dec 3 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields fell on
Wednesday after data showed a surprise decrease in
private-sector payrolls in November, adding to worries about
labor market weakness and cementing expectations of a rate cut
by the Federal Reserve next month.
In early morning trading, the benchmark 10-year yield dipped
2.5 basis points (bps) to 4.063%, while the 30-year
yield slipped 1.1 bps to 4.729%.
On the front end of the curve, the two-year yield, which
reflects interest rate moves by the Fed, was down 2.8 bps at
3.488%.
Data showed that U.S. private employment
decreased by 32,000 jobs
last month after an upwardly revised 47,000 increase in
October. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast private
employment rising by 10,000 jobs after a previously reported
42,000 rebound in October.
Following the data, U.S. rate futures have priced in an 89%
chance of a 25-bp cut next month, up from 83.4% a week ago, CME
FedWatch showed.
"The third decline in four months for ADP private-sector
payrolls could lock in a Fed rate cut next week," wrote Sal
Guatieri, senior economist at BMO, in emailed comments after the
jobs report.
"The Fed won't have the BLS's (Bureau of Labor Statistics)
official November jobs report before next week's policy
decision, but the ADP report might be all that it needs for the
more dovish leaning Governors to counter some hawkish leaning
regional Presidents to push through another rate cut."
(Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss;
Editing by Tomasz Janowski and Chizu Nomiyama )