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Investors brace for strong consumer price index report
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US-China trade talks could impact global growth
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Yields on 10-year Treasury note slightly down
(Recasts; updates prices; adds data forecasts, fresh comment in
paragraphs 1-2 and 4-14)
By Douglas Gillison
June 9 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields were modestly
lower on Monday afternoon, after rising on Friday following an
unexpectedly strong May jobs report.
The uptick in demand for Treasuries came ahead of planned
auctions for three-, 10- and 30-year U.S. notes and bonds this
week and U.S. inflation data on Wednesday. U.S. and Chinese
officials also met in London for trade negotiations.
Employment data reported on Friday by the Labor Department
on bolstered the view the U.S. economy will prove more resilient
than feared while the outcome of the Trump administration's
multi-front trade war remains uncertain.
"There's no risk-off move, what with equities doing all
right on the day," said Guy LeBas, chief fixed income strategist
at Janney Montgomery Scott.
LeBas added that he expected "cautious demand" at this
week's auctions but that inflation data for May was likely to be
a little warmer.
"This is really the first period in which firms had the
opportunity to adjust prices for the tariffs," he said.
Economists are expecting Wednesday's Consumer Price Index
data to show the core rate rose 0.1 point year over year to
2.9%, according to a Reuters poll. This would mark a reversal in
the slowing trend recorded since January and could weigh on
chances the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates soon.
Futures markets suggest investors believe the Fed is
unlikely to cut rates before September's Fed meeting.
Yields on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
were last down 3.6 basis points to 4.474%. The
yield on the 30-year bond fell 1.6 basis points to
4.947%.
Bond yields move inversely to prices, meaning they rise
when demand weakens.
The curve between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury notes
, seen as an indicator of economic expectations,
was at a positive 47.3 basis points.
Economic data on Monday from the Commerce Department showed
wholesale inventories rose 0.2% in April, versus a consensus
expectation by economists polled by Reuters that they would
remain unchanged.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which
typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, fell
4.6 basis points to 3.997%.
The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at
2.350% after closing at 2.359% on Friday.
The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at
2.312%, indicating the market sees inflation averaging about
2.3% a year for the next decade.