(Updated at 2:56 p.m. ET/1856 GMT)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, July 22 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields
inched higher on Monday, as markets assessed the uncertainty
surrounding the race for the White House after President Joe
Biden dropped his bid for reelection.
Vice President Kamala Harris was moving swiftly to try to
lock up the Democratic presidential nomination and secured the
support of former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, while nearly all
of the prominent Democrats who had been seen as potential
challengers to Harris have lined up behind her.
"That's been the big question mark hanging over the markets;
a lot of people in the Treasury market were working towards that
understanding that Biden was going to drop out. I'm not terribly
surprised there's not some kind of huge upheaval in the rate
structure and term structure," said Thomas Urano, co-chief
investment officer at Sage Advisory in Austin, Texas.
"More importantly, the Fed's playing a pretty clear role
here because we've had a solid view of inflation moving in their
direction, growth kind of decelerating, so the door's open for
the Fed to make some adjustments in the near future so that's
the other thing that's really got the Treasury market's
attention."
Yields have dropped in July as data showed signs of a
slowing labor market and easing inflation to bolster
expectations the central bank will cut interest rates this year.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
rose 2.1 basis points to 4.26%.
The yield on the 30-year bond advanced 2.9 basis
points to 4.479%.
The Federal Reserve is scheduled to hold its next policy
meeting at the end of July, with markets pricing in only a
slight chance for a cut of at least 25 basis points (bps), while
largely expecting the central bank to reduce rates at its
September meeting, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.
Investors will eye the report on gross domestic product for
the second quarter on Thursday and personal consumption
expenditures (PCE) data for June on Friday for clues on the
Fed's interest-rate path.
A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve
measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year notes
, seen as an indicator of economic expectations, was
at a negative 26.7 basis points.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically
moves in step with interest rate expectations, edged up 1.6
basis points to 4.523%.
More supply will come to the market this week as Treasury
auctions $69 billion in two-year notes on Tuesday and $70
billion in five-year notes on Wednesday.
The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at
2.192% after closing at 2.197% on July 19.
The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at
2.29%, indicating that the market sees inflation averaging about
2.3% a year for the next decade.