financetom
Market
financetom
/
Market
/
TREASURIES-Yields bounce as Fed and economic data soothe frayed nerves
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
TREASURIES-Yields bounce as Fed and economic data soothe frayed nerves
Aug 6, 2024 2:57 AM

(Updates at 0930 GMT)

By Harry Robertson and Ankur Banerjee

Aug 6 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields rose further away

from one-year lows on Tuesday as comments from Federal Reserve

officials and economic data helped to allay the recession fears

that roiled global markets on Monday.

The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which is highly

sensitive to interest rate expectations, was last up 9 basis

points (bps) to 3.973%.

It tumbled as low as 3.654% on Monday, a level not seen

since April 2023, before stronger-than-expected data helped push

it back higher. Yields move inversely to prices.

Survey data showed the

vast U.S. services sector

rebounded from a four-year low last month, with a measure

of employment rising for the first time since January.

"Markets might have overreacted during a hot summer,"

said Benjamin Schroeder, senior rates strategist at ING.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note

was 7 bps higher at 3.848%, a sharp rebound from the

more than one-year low of 3.667% hit on Monday.

Last week's softer-than-expected U.S. job data stoked

worries among investors about a recession and led to a plunge in

stocks, with traders fleeing to safe haven assets.

Investors have also been grappling with a dramatic rally in

the Japanese yen which has rocked the country's markets and

rippled around the world.

Yields got a lift late on Monday after policymakers pushed

back on against the notion that soft job data means the economy

is in trouble.

The jobs data left "more room for confidence that we're

slowing but not falling off a cliff," San Francisco Fed

President Mary Daly said at an event in Hawaii.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said: "You see

jobs numbers come in weaker than expected but not looking yet

like recession."

Goolsbee said the Fed is focused on employment, inflation

and financial stability. "If the conditions collectively start

coming in...that there's deterioration on any of those parts,

we're going to fix it," he said.

Traders are now anticipating 110 bps of easing this year

from the Fed, compared to more than 125 bps on Monday. They now

see a 75% chance of an outsized 50 bp cut in September, down

from a near certainty on Monday, money market pricing showed.

"We do not think that the U.S. economy - or Europe - is

headed for a hard landing," said Mohit Kumar, chief economist

for Europe at Jefferies.

"The aggressive market reaction over the last few

sessions was due to a combination of heavy positioning, unwind

of carry trades, summer illiquidity and geopolitical concerns."

The gap between two-and 10-year Treasury notes

was last at minus 12 bps, after reaching 1.50 bps

briefly on Monday. It was the first time it has turned positive

since July 2022.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Wall Street Volatility Gauge Hits 4.5-Year High, Traders Lift Rate-Cut Bets on China Tariffs
Wall Street Volatility Gauge Hits 4.5-Year High, Traders Lift Rate-Cut Bets on China Tariffs
Apr 4, 2025
The VIX index, which shows the equity market's expectations for 30-day volatility and is often called Wall Street's fear gauge, rose to 39, the highest since October 2020, after China imposed retaliatory tariffs on the U.S., data from TradingView show. The increase, coupled with the sharp sell-off in the U.S. stock-index futures, prompted traders to increase estimates of Federal Reserve...
Top 3 Financial Stocks That May Fall Off A Cliff In April
Top 3 Financial Stocks That May Fall Off A Cliff In April
Apr 4, 2025
As of April 4, 2025, three stocks in the financial sector could be flashing a real warning to investors who value momentum as a key criteria in their trading decisions. The RSI is a momentum indicator, which compares a stock’s strength on days when prices go up to its strength on days when prices go down. When compared to a...
US STOCKS SNAPSHOT-Futures hold onto losses after March nonfarm payrolls data
US STOCKS SNAPSHOT-Futures hold onto losses after March nonfarm payrolls data
Apr 4, 2025
April 4 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures held onto losses on Friday as investors assessed nonfarm payrolls data for March to gauge the health of the world's largest economy. A Labor Department report showed the U.S. economy added 228,000 jobs last month, compared with economists' estimate of a rise of 135,000. The unemployment rate stood at 4.2%, compared with...
Oil Prices Fall to Four-Year Low on Trade Wars and Rising OPEC+ Supply
Oil Prices Fall to Four-Year Low on Trade Wars and Rising OPEC+ Supply
Apr 4, 2025
08:38 AM EDT, 04/04/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Oil traded at the lowest in four years early on Friday, tumbling for a second day along with wider markets as the fallout from U.S. President Donald Trump's trade wars continues. West Texas Intermediate crude oil for May delivery was last seen down US$5.70 to US$61.25 per barrel, the lowest since February, 2021,...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved