financetom
Market
financetom
/
Market
/
TREASURIES-Yields bounce as Fed and economic data soothe frayed nerves
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
TREASURIES-Yields bounce as Fed and economic data soothe frayed nerves
Aug 6, 2024 2:57 AM

(Updates at 0930 GMT)

By Harry Robertson and Ankur Banerjee

Aug 6 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields rose further away

from one-year lows on Tuesday as comments from Federal Reserve

officials and economic data helped to allay the recession fears

that roiled global markets on Monday.

The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which is highly

sensitive to interest rate expectations, was last up 9 basis

points (bps) to 3.973%.

It tumbled as low as 3.654% on Monday, a level not seen

since April 2023, before stronger-than-expected data helped push

it back higher. Yields move inversely to prices.

Survey data showed the

vast U.S. services sector

rebounded from a four-year low last month, with a measure

of employment rising for the first time since January.

"Markets might have overreacted during a hot summer,"

said Benjamin Schroeder, senior rates strategist at ING.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note

was 7 bps higher at 3.848%, a sharp rebound from the

more than one-year low of 3.667% hit on Monday.

Last week's softer-than-expected U.S. job data stoked

worries among investors about a recession and led to a plunge in

stocks, with traders fleeing to safe haven assets.

Investors have also been grappling with a dramatic rally in

the Japanese yen which has rocked the country's markets and

rippled around the world.

Yields got a lift late on Monday after policymakers pushed

back on against the notion that soft job data means the economy

is in trouble.

The jobs data left "more room for confidence that we're

slowing but not falling off a cliff," San Francisco Fed

President Mary Daly said at an event in Hawaii.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said: "You see

jobs numbers come in weaker than expected but not looking yet

like recession."

Goolsbee said the Fed is focused on employment, inflation

and financial stability. "If the conditions collectively start

coming in...that there's deterioration on any of those parts,

we're going to fix it," he said.

Traders are now anticipating 110 bps of easing this year

from the Fed, compared to more than 125 bps on Monday. They now

see a 75% chance of an outsized 50 bp cut in September, down

from a near certainty on Monday, money market pricing showed.

"We do not think that the U.S. economy - or Europe - is

headed for a hard landing," said Mohit Kumar, chief economist

for Europe at Jefferies.

"The aggressive market reaction over the last few

sessions was due to a combination of heavy positioning, unwind

of carry trades, summer illiquidity and geopolitical concerns."

The gap between two-and 10-year Treasury notes

was last at minus 12 bps, after reaching 1.50 bps

briefly on Monday. It was the first time it has turned positive

since July 2022.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Investor Sentiment Improves, But Dow Falls Over 200 Points
Investor Sentiment Improves, But Dow Falls Over 200 Points
Apr 2, 2024
The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed some improvement in the overall market sentiment, while the index remained in the Greed zone on Monday. U.S. stocks closed mostly lower on Monday, with the Dow Jones index closing lower by more than 200 points during the session. The headline annual inflation rate, as measured by personal consumption expenditures (PCE), rose...
Euro area government bond yields rise, playing catch-up with US Treasuries
Euro area government bond yields rise, playing catch-up with US Treasuries
Apr 2, 2024
April 2 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields rose on Tuesday, playing catch-up with U.S. Treasury moves on Monday when economic data raised doubts about whether the Federal Reserve could deliver three interest rate cuts this year. Euro area markets, which opened after a holiday, await inflation figures from Germany later in the session and from the euro area...
Euro zone bond yields track US Treasuries' rise, Italian spread hits one-month high
Euro zone bond yields track US Treasuries' rise, Italian spread hits one-month high
Apr 2, 2024
April 2 (Reuters) - Euro zone borrowing costs rose on Tuesday as investors balanced the jump in U.S. Treasury yields the day before against German data confirming that the disinflation process was underway. U.S. Treasury yields rose on Monday as economic data raised doubts about whether the Federal Reserve could deliver on three rate cuts this year. Inflation fell in...
Russian rouble weakens slightly against the US dollar
Russian rouble weakens slightly against the US dollar
Apr 2, 2024
MOSCOW, April 2 (Reuters) - The Russian rouble weakened slightly against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday. By 0715 GMT, the rouble was 0.24% lower at 92.36 to the dollar after trading in a range of 92.163 to 92.470. Against the euro, the rouble fell 0.04% to 99.14 and dropped 0.08% to 12.70 against the yuan . Brent crude oil, a...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved