(Updates at 0930 GMT)
By Harry Robertson and Ankur Banerjee
Aug 6 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields rose further away
from one-year lows on Tuesday as comments from Federal Reserve
officials and economic data helped to allay the recession fears
that roiled global markets on Monday.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which is highly
sensitive to interest rate expectations, was last up 9 basis
points (bps) to 3.973%.
It tumbled as low as 3.654% on Monday, a level not seen
since April 2023, before stronger-than-expected data helped push
it back higher. Yields move inversely to prices.
Survey data showed the
vast U.S. services sector
rebounded from a four-year low last month, with a measure
of employment rising for the first time since January.
"Markets might have overreacted during a hot summer,"
said Benjamin Schroeder, senior rates strategist at ING.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
was 7 bps higher at 3.848%, a sharp rebound from the
more than one-year low of 3.667% hit on Monday.
Last week's softer-than-expected U.S. job data stoked
worries among investors about a recession and led to a plunge in
stocks, with traders fleeing to safe haven assets.
Investors have also been grappling with a dramatic rally in
the Japanese yen which has rocked the country's markets and
rippled around the world.
Yields got a lift late on Monday after policymakers pushed
back on against the notion that soft job data means the economy
is in trouble.
The jobs data left "more room for confidence that we're
slowing but not falling off a cliff," San Francisco Fed
President Mary Daly said at an event in Hawaii.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said: "You see
jobs numbers come in weaker than expected but not looking yet
like recession."
Goolsbee said the Fed is focused on employment, inflation
and financial stability. "If the conditions collectively start
coming in...that there's deterioration on any of those parts,
we're going to fix it," he said.
Traders are now anticipating 110 bps of easing this year
from the Fed, compared to more than 125 bps on Monday. They now
see a 75% chance of an outsized 50 bp cut in September, down
from a near certainty on Monday, money market pricing showed.
"We do not think that the U.S. economy - or Europe - is
headed for a hard landing," said Mohit Kumar, chief economist
for Europe at Jefferies.
"The aggressive market reaction over the last few
sessions was due to a combination of heavy positioning, unwind
of carry trades, summer illiquidity and geopolitical concerns."
The gap between two-and 10-year Treasury notes
was last at minus 12 bps, after reaching 1.50 bps
briefly on Monday. It was the first time it has turned positive
since July 2022.