NEW YORK, Aug 13 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields
slipped on Tuesday after the release of tame producer price data
that looks unlikely to divert the Federal Reserve from an easing
glide path and should raise hopes that Wednesday's consumer
prices report will confirm inflation is under control.
The July Producer Price Index increased a
less-than-expected 0.1%, after rising 0.2% in June, the Labor
Department said, as a rise in the cost of goods was tempered by
cheaper services. In the 12 months through July, the PPI
increased 2.2%, backing down from a 2.7% rise in June.
Slowing inflation and a cooling labor market have led
financial markets to anticipate that the Federal Reserve will
start its easing cycle in September. With inflation behaving and
the unemployment rate surging to near a three-year high of 4.3%
in July, an interest rate cut of 50 basis points from its
current 5.25% to 5.5% range cannot be ruled out.
Bond yields fell sharply to their lowest in more than a year
in the wake of the surprising jump in the unemployment rate and
weaker than expected payrolls increase reported last Friday.
They have recovered somewhat but remain under pressure amid
concerns that complacency over a soft landing is misplaced and
that a recession could be in store.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year note was
down 3.4 basis points at 3.875%, about 2 bps below where it
stood before PPI. The 2-year note yield, which
typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, was
down 4 bps from late Monday at 3.9751%, about 3 bps of which
came after the report.
The 30-year bond yield fell 2 basis points from
late the previous session to 4.1784%.
A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve
measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury
notes, seen as an indicator of economic
expectations, was at a negative 10.2 basis points, slightly
steeper, or less inverted than -11.7 bps late Monday.
Hopes for an aggressive 50 bps easing in September briefly
disinverted the 2s/10s curve to 1.5 bps last week, the first
time it had been in a normal upward sloping configuration since
July 2022.