(Updated in New York afternoon time)
By Karen Brettell
NEW YORK, May 22 (Reuters) -
U.S. Treasury yields fell on Thursday after a recent selloff
drew some buyers at more attractive levels, with 30-year yields
earlier reaching the highest in 19 months as a worsening fiscal
outlook for the United States raised concerns about demand for
U.S. government debt.
Yields initially rose after the Republican-controlled U.S.
House of Representatives on Thursday passed a sweeping tax and
spending bill that would enact much of President Donald Trump's
policy agenda and saddle the country with trillions of dollars
in debt.
Soft demand for a $16 billion sale of 20-year bonds on
Wednesday also increased concerns about falling interest in U.S.
debt. The auction was the first since Moody's Investors Service
cut the United States sovereign rating from the top "Aaa" on
Friday.
"You've had a variety of factors that seem to be calling
into question demand for longer duration Treasuries and maybe
demand for longer duration sovereign bonds," said Zachary
Griffiths, head of IG and macro strategy at CreditSights.
But yields fell back from their highs later on Thursday
as some buyers emerged. Benchmark 10-year yields and 30-year
yields have both risen by around 50 basis points this month.
The Treasury saw average demand for a $18 billion sale
of 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities on Thursday.
They debt sold at a high yield of 2.22%, around half a basis
point higher than where it traded before the sale. Demand was
2.36 times the amount of debt on offer.
U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller also said
on Thursday he still sees a path to rate cuts later this year,
but noted that the outlook depends on where the Trump
administration's tariff policy settles out.
Fed funds futures
traders see the Fed as most likely to resume rate cuts in
September.
The market may need to see something significant in
terms of the economy or supply for any yield declines to be long
lasting.
"The Treasury market is looking for a circuit breaker,"
said Ed Al-Hussainy, senior rates analyst at Columbia
Threadneedle Investments.
"This can come in the form of poor labor market data to
bring forward Fed cuts and trigger a reassessment of the
strength of the economy. Or a change in the Treasury's financing
strategy that skews issuance of towards Treasury bills and
intermediate maturity bonds," he said.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves
in step with interest rate expectations, was last down 1.9 basis
points at 3.999%.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
fell 4.6 basis points to 4.551%, after earlier reaching 4.629%,
the highest since February 12.
The yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes
flattened 3 basis points to 55 basis points.
The 30-year bond yield fell 2.6 basis points
to 5.063% and earlier hit 5.161%. It is close to October 2023's
high of 5.179%, a break past which would take it to its highest
since mid-2007.
Inflation fears have weighed on longer-dated debt demand
as the Trump administration continues to work on trade deals
that will maintain tariffs, but in most cases below the levels
that were initially implemented.
Japanese government bond yields
have also surged following a weak 20-year Japanese debt
auction earlier this week. That has raised concerns that
Japanese investors will move away from Treasuries as Japanese
bonds become more attractive from a yield perspective.
Fiscal and debt supply concerns have come to the fore in a
week that is otherwise light on major economic releases to drive
market direction.
Data on Thursday showed that the number of Americans filing
new applications for unemployment benefits dropped last week,
suggesting the economy maintained a steady pace of job growth in
May.
(Reporintg by Karen Brettell; Additional reporting by Saeed
Azhar and Alun John; Editing by Frances Kerry and Nick
Zieminski)