(Updated at 0900 EDT)
By Karen Brettell
May 15 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields fell to more
than five-week lows on Wednesday after data showed U.S. consumer
price inflation was largely as expected in April with headline
prices rising slightly less than expected, boosting expectations
that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates two times this
year.
Higher than expected consumer price inflation in the first
quarter raised concerns that the U.S. central bank will not be
able to cut interest rates as many times as previously expected
this year.
Fed funds futures traders are now pricing in 51 basis
points of cuts this year, up from 45 basis points on Tuesday,
with the first 25 basis point cut likely in September.
"We haven't made significant progress this year in our
battle against inflation... and this is a step in the right
direction to get the Fed more comfortable," said Art Hogan,
chief market strategist at B. Riley Wealth in New York.
The consumer price index rose 0.3% last month after
advancing 0.4% in March and February. In the 12 months through
April, the CPI increased 3.4% after climbing 3.5% in March.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI gaining 0.4%
on the month and advancing 3.4% year-on-year.
The closely watched core CPI rose 0.3% in April, as
expected, after advancing 0.4% in March. In the 12 months
through April, the core CPI increased 3.6%. That was the
smallest year-on-year gain since April 2021 and followed a 3.8%
increase in March.
The Fed is likely to still need further confirmation that
inflation is heading back closer to its 2% annual target before
cutting rates.
"What it doesn't do is put the Fed on a trajectory to begin
cutting immediately. They're going to need a couple more reports
to get some confidence," said Jason Pride, chief of investment
strategy and research at Glenmede in Philadelphia.
Other data on Wednesday also showed that U.S. retail
sales were
unexpectedly flat
in April as higher gasoline prices pulled spending away
from other goods.
Benchmark 10-year yields were last down 8 basis
points on the day at 4.367% and got as low as 4.340%, the lowest
since April 5.
Two-year yields fell 8 basis points to 4.739% and
reached 4.711%, also the lowest since April 5.
The inversion in the yield curve between two-year and
10-year notes was little changed on the day at
minus 37 basis points.