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Fed cuts rates by 25 basis points, signals further cuts
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Expectations for October cut increase
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Housing starts, building permits data softer than expected
(Updates prices, adds Powell comments)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, Sept 17 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields were
mostly higher on Wednesday in choppy trading after the Federal
Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points, which was widely
anticipated, as investors awaited comments from Chair Jerome
Powell for insight on the path of monetary policy.
In announcing the cut, the Fed indicated it will steadily lower
borrowing costs for the rest of this year, as policymakers
responded to concerns about weakness in the job market in a move
that won support from most of President Donald Trump's central
bank appointees.
Only new Governor Stephen Miran, who joined the Fed on
Tuesday and is on leave as the head of the White House's Council
of Economic Advisers, dissented in favor of a
half-percentage-point cut.
"They have deemed that the downside risk to employment has
increased, and therefore it would seem that they are weighting
the labor market more than the higher inflation that they noted
in their projections," said Ellen Hazen, chief market strategist
at F.L.Putnam Investment Management in Wellesley,
Massachusetts.
"In other words, they are laying the groundwork for having a
little bit easier policy."
After the cut, Treasury yields initially erased gains and turned
lower on the session before reversing course as Powell spoke,
with the yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
hitting a session high of 4.081%. It was last up
2.5 basis points at 4.051%.
The Fed Chair said the central bank is in a "meeting-by-meeting"
situation regarding the outlook for rates and he doesn't feel
the need to move quickly.
Yields have fallen in recent weeks as a spate of economic
data that indicated a softening of the labor market boosted
expectations the central bank will be more aggressive in cutting
interest rates. The 10-year note touched a 7-month low of 3.994%
last week.
Prior to the Fed statement, markets were fully pricing in a rate
cut of at least 25 basis points (bps) from the Fed, with a
roughly 4% chance for an outsized cut of 50 basis points,
according to CME's FedWatch Tool.
Market expectations for a cut of at least 25 basis points at the
central bank's October meeting increased after the statement.
The Fed has been under significant pressure from Donald Trump's
administration to rapidly lower rates, and Trump has attempted
to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook.
The yield on the 30-year bond advanced 0.8
basis point to 4.654%.
Earlier economic data showed U.S. single-family homebuilding and
permits for future construction dropped in August amid a glut of
unsold new houses and a softening labor market, unfazed by
falling mortgage rates.
A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve
measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury
notes, seen as an indicator of economic
expectations, was at a positive 52.3 basis points.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which
typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the
Fed, climbed 1.6 basis points to 3.526%.
The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at
2.46% after closing at 2.443% on Tuesday.
The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at
2.383%, indicating the market sees inflation averaging about
2.4% a year for the next decade.
(Editing by Nick Zieminski)