(Updates throughout with latest market activity, adds market
comments in paragraphs 7 & 8)
* Yields higher as Iran war persists
* 10-year yield last up to 4.403%
* Treasury to auction $69 billion in two-year notes
By Matt Tracy
WASHINGTON, March 24 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields
inched higher on Tuesday morning as optimism over a quick easing
of the Middle East crisis faded, renewing concerns about
inflation risks.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield was last up 4.9
basis points at 4.403%, but short of a near eight-month high
touched on Monday.
Two-year yields also edged higher and were last
up 7 bps at 3.901%. They climbed to their highest since July in
Monday trading.
Yields dipped on Monday from their multi-month highs after U.S.
President Donald Trump said he had delayed strikes on Iranian
power plants and energy infrastructure, following what he called
productive talks with Iran.
But Iran's foreign ministry responded shortly after that
there was "no dialogue" between Tehran and Washington, according
to state-affiliated media. Iran then announced fresh attacks on
U.S. targets, lifting crude oil prices.
Major brokerages have revised their 2026 average oil price
forecasts as the war rages on and disruptions in shipments from
the Strait of Hormuz persist, with Goldman Sachs ( GS ) raising its
Brent crude oil forecast for 2026 to $85 a barrel from $77.
"You're seeing energy prices up today, which is driving a
lot of the move back up in yields," said Jan Nevruzi, U.S. rates
strategist at TD Securities. He added that five-year and
seven-year Treasury notes had similarly edged higher on elevated
energy prices.
Five-year yields were last up 6.5 bps to 4.015%, while
seven-year yields were last up 6.4 bps at 4.207%.
A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve
measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury
notes, viewed in the market as an indicator of
economic expectations, was last at 47.64 basis points.
U.S. rate futures on Friday began to price in the possibility of
an interest-rate hike later this year after the Fed and other
central banks last week kept rates on hold. Markets were pricing
in a 91.7% chance of no hike for the Fed's April meeting as of
Tuesday morning.
Data on Tuesday showed U.S. manufacturing and services business
activity fell to an 11-month low in March.
The U.S. Treasury is slated to auction $69 billion in
two-year notes later in the day.
(Reporting by Matt Tracy in Washington; Editing by Joe Bavier
and Andrea Ricci )