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Fed's Powell expects inflation to rise over the summer
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Concerns about expanding Iran war boost demand for
Treasuries
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New applications for unemployment benefits fell last week
(Updated in New York afternoon time)
By Karen Brettell
June 18 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields pared earlier
declines on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell
said inflation in goods prices is expected to accelerate over
the summer as the impact of President Donald Trump's tariffs
works its way to U.S. consumers.
Powell also cautioned not to place too much stock in the
central bank's interest rate forecasts, which could change based
on incoming data, especially on inflation.
"They don't appear to be in a hurry at all to consider
cutting rates or making ... any sort of concerted move," said
Andrew Wells, chief investment officer at SanJac Alpha in
Houston.
Powell's comments came after the U.S. central bank kept
rates unchanged as widely expected. Policymakers also maintained
expectations for two cuts this year, but a rising minority
expects no rate cuts at all.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes was
last down 0.4 basis points at 4.387%. The
interest-rate-sensitive 2-year note yield fell 1.5
basis points to 3.935%.
The yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes
steepened by around two basis points to 45 basis
points.
Concerns the United States will join Israel's war with Iran
has boosted demand for safe-haven U.S. debt and helped send
yields lower earlier on Wednesday.
Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei rejected
Donald Trump's demand for unconditional surrender on Wednesday,
and the U.S. president said his patience had run out, though he
gave no clue as to his next step.
Offsetting some of the safe-haven demand for Treasuries are
concerns that oil supply could be disrupted.
However, "oil prices have really stabilized after increasing
because there's this cautious optimism that any Israeli strikes
are not going to hit Iranian oil facilities," said Will
Compernolle, macro strategist at FHN Financial in Chicago.
Government data showed foreigners cut their overall Treasury
holdings in April to $9.013 trillion from $9.050 trillion in
March, though Japan and the United Kingdom, the two largest
foreign holders of U.S. debt, increased their holdings.
China, the third-largest holder, cut its holdings by $8.2
billion during the month while Canada cut its position by $57.8
billion.
Treasury yields surged after Trump announced on April 2
higher than expected tariffs, leading to concerns that foreign
investors were moving away from U.S. assets.
The yields stabilized in the weeks after the "Liberation Day"
announcement as Trump delayed implementation of the levies
pending negotiations with trading partners.
Data earlier on Wednesday showed the number of Americans
filing new applications for unemployment benefits fell last
week.
The bond market will be closed on Thursday for the federal
Juneteenth holiday.