(Updated to mid-afternoon New York time)
By Karen Brettell
NEW YORK, Dec 23 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields rose
on Monday and 10-year yields reached a nearly seven-month high
as the Treasury Department this week sells short- and
intermediate-dated debt, with volumes muted while many traders
are away before Wednesday's Christmas holiday.
A healthy demand met a $69 billion sale of two-year notes on
Monday, the first auction of $183 billion in coupon-bearing
supply this week.
The notes sold at a high yield of 4.335%, close to where
they were trading before the auction. Demand was 2.73 times the
amount of debt on offer.
Indirect bidders took 82.1% of the sale, which Lou Brien,
strategist at DRW Trading, said is a record high portion. "This
indicates strong foreign demand," Brien said in a note.
The Treasury will also sell $70 billion in five-year notes
on Tuesday and $44 billion in seven-year notes on Thursday.
The auctions are testing demand for U.S. government debt
following a selloff sparked in part by concerns that inflation
will remain stubbornly elevated above the Federal Reserve's 2%
annual target.
Fed policymakers last week lowered their rate cut
projections for 2025 to 50 basis points, from 100 basis points,
and increased their inflation forecast.
The U.S. central bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points
as expected, but Fed Chair Jerome Powell said more reductions in
borrowing costs now hinge on further progress in lowering price
pressures.
"The biggest surprise was the upward revision to inflation
next year. Fed officials project a 2.5% inflation rate by the
end of 2025, up from the 2.1% forecast in September and most
likely reflecting uncertainty from potential trade wars,"
Jeffrey Roach, chief economist, and Lawrence Gillum, chief fixed
income strategist, at LPL Financial said in a report on Monday.
President-elect Donald Trump has warned that he may
implement more tariffs on trading partners, which analysts say
could lead to higher inflation.
Money market traders are currently pricing in 35 basis
points of Fed rate cuts next year, indicating that they see a
less-than-50% chance the U.S. central bank will make a second 25
basis-point cut.
Data on Monday showed that new orders for key
U.S.-manufactured capital goods surged in November amid strong
demand for machinery, while new home sales rebounded after being
weighed down by hurricanes, offering more signs that the economy
is on solid footing as the year ends.
Benchmark 10-year note yields were last up 7.3
basis points at 4.597%, the highest since May 30.
Two-year note yields, which are highly sensitive
to Fed interest-rate policy, rose 3.5 basis points to 4.347%.
The yield curve between two- and 10-year notes
steepened by around 4 basis points to 24.9 basis
points. It reached 27.6 basis points on Thursday, the steepest
since June 2022.
The bond market will close early on Tuesday and be closed on
Wednesday for the Christmas holiday.