(Updated at 1500 EDT)
By Karen Brettell
May 10 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields rose on Friday
as traders waited on key inflation data for April next week to
guide expectations of Federal Reserve policy.
Yields hit one-month lows last week after a
softer-than-expected employment report for April re-ignited bets
that the U.S. central bank will make two 25 basis point interest
rate cuts this year.
Now, traders will need to see further progress on inflation
easing closer to the Fed's 2% annual target to solidify those
rate cut expectations.
Further declines in inflation "could certainly get the ball
rolling on rate cuts," said Tom di Galoma, managing director and
co-head of global rates trading at BTIG.
The Fed last week signaled it is still leaning towards
eventual reductions in borrowing costs, but noted that recent
disappointing inflation readings could make those rate cuts a
while in coming.
Debate over whether U.S. interest rates are high enough
deepened among Fed officials this week.
The closely watched core Consumer Price Index (CPI) on
Wednesday is expected to rise 0.3% in April, for an annual gain
of 3.6%, according to economists polled by Reuters.
Will Compernolle, a macro strategist at FHN Financial, sees
the outcome of the inflation report as asymmetric.
"If it is bad, it probably will determine the year because
the Fed has to seriously consider whether they are sufficiently
restrictive at this point," while inflation coming in as
expected would be positive for the Fed but "doesn't mean that
we're in the clear."
"If it's bad I think there are much bigger implications than
if it's a much more encouraging report," Compernolle said.
A survey on Friday showed that U.S. consumer sentiment
sagged to a six-month low in May amid growing anxiety about
inflation.
Benchmark 10-year note yields rose 6 basis
points to 4.504%.
Two-year yields gained 6 basis points to 4.868%.
The inversion in the yield curve between two-year and
10-year notes was little changed on the day at
minus 36 basis points.
Other U.S. data next week will include producer prices for
April on Tuesday and retail sales for April on Wednesday.