May 8 (Reuters) -
U.S. Treasury yields held firm on Tuesday on optimism that
the Federal Reserve will lower rates more than once this year,
but investors had little incentive to trade ahead of important
inflation data next week.
New supply has been the theme in a week lacking in
market-moving economic reports. The Treasury will sell $42
billion in 10-year notes later in the day, after Tuesday's
well-received sale of 3-year Treasuries.
"It is a quiet week for data. There is no impetus to
push the 10-year one way or the other ahead of CPI next week,"
said Lou Brien, market strategist at DRW Trading in Chicago.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
rose 2.1 basis points from late Tuesday to 4.482%.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in
step with interest rate expectations, was down 0.2 basis points
to 4.8261%.
The U.S. Treasury yield curve spread between yields on two-
and 10-year Treasury notes, seen as an indicator of
economic expectations, was almost unchanged at a negative 34.7
basis points.
The 30-year bond yield was up 2 basis points at
4.6247%. The Treasury will sell $25 billion of 30-year bonds on
Thursday.
Yields fell sharply on Friday on news that the economy
created fewer than expected jobs in April. The report
accelerated a bond rally after the Federal Open Market Committee
said the recent uptick in inflation and economic growth were
unlikely to derail rate cuts this year. The Federal Reserve all
but ruled out rate hikes.
The 10-year yield hit its lowest since April 10 on Tuesday,
while on Friday the yield on the 2-year note fell to the lowest
since April 5.
The April Producer Price Index report comes on Tuesday, and
the closely followed CPI number next Wednesday, which will
provide insight on whether inflation has resumed its downward
trend toward the Fed's 2% target rate.
Fed speakers have a busy schedule this week. On Wednesday
Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson was due to speak before midday,
Boston Fed President Susan Collins at 11:45 a.m. EDT and Federal
Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook at 1:30 p.m. EDT.
In the fed funds futures market, traders are pricing in a
66% chance the Fed will pivot in September with a 25 basis point
cut at that meeting, unchanged from Tuesday. The second cut is
priced for December.