* Advisors cite rising volatility, inflation, and
geopolitical risks as top concerns for Q2 2026
* Traditional 60/40 portfolios under pressure amid
simultaneous stock and bond weakness
* Energy, supply chain disruptions, AI uncertainty add
complexity
By Suzanne McGee
PROVIDENCE, Rhode Island, April 1 (Reuters) - Investment
advisors say a buildup of problems is weighing on clients, who
are entering the second quarter of the year struggling with
trying to predict the outcome of war, the direction of energy
prices and the repercussions of problems stemming from private
credit.
An exuberant rally that turned the final trading day of the
first quarter on Tuesday into the best day of the year so far
was not enough to save U.S. market indexes from closing the
period with the worst quarterly returns seen since 2022, as the
Standard & Poor's 500 index recorded a 4.6% loss for the first
three months.
The anxiety reflects a shift in how advisors are thinking
about risk. For years, the standard playbook of diversifying
across assets provided a reliable framework. Now, advisors say,
headwinds are leaving investors with less confidence that
historical patterns will hold.
"Markets can handle bad news," said Mark Stancato of VIP Wealth
Advisors in Decatur, Georgia. "What they struggle with is a lack
of clarity about policy direction and end goals. That's what
we're seeing, not just equity volatility but a broader sense
that outcomes are hard to model."
SIMULTANEOUS STOCK AND BOND WEAKNESS
Both stocks and bonds had a poor first quarter, with yields on
the 10-year Treasury jumping from as low as 4.01% early in March
to highs of 4.44% in the closing days of the month. Even gold
failed to live up to its traditional role as a safe haven, with
its 13% decline in March making the month the worst recorded
since October 2008.
"This is one of the toughest economic/market situations I've
ever seen," said Lisa Kirchenbauer, an advisor at Omega Wealth
Management in Arlington, Virginia.
Intra-day volatility grew in the first quarter, said Jim
Carroll, senior wealth advisor at Ballast Rock Private Wealth in
Charleston, South Carolina, masking the fact that overall,
market declines have been quite orderly.
Matt Dmytryszyn, chief investment officer at Composition
Wealth, a registered investment advisory firm, said he worries
that cumulative headwinds could reshape the psychological
attitudes of high-net worth families, causing them to rein in
their spending, which could take a toll on the broader economy.
There is a risk that growth drivers may stall in this
environment, Dmytryszyn cautioned. If that happens, the economy
and markets will rely more heavily on productivity gains from
the rollout of AI, as well as spending by higher-income
consumers. If either of those falter, he added, "we could see a
two-phase equity market decline, one driven by the fear and
impact of the war with Iran, with a second stemming from a U.S.
economic recession."
The prospect of something just as unnerving but much more rare
-- stagflation, or the combination of high inflation and stalled
economic growth -- has David Haas of Cereus Financial Advisors
in Franklin Lakes, New Jersey, concerned.
"I am not expecting 7% inflation, but it's likely to be
north of 4%," Haas said. Higher oil prices and supply chain
disruptions might cause a slowdown in economic growth. "Not
necessarily recession, but maybe close."
A number find the parallel weakness in both stocks and bonds --
uncomfortably reminiscent of 2022, when both asset classes ended
up in the red and investors found no safe haven -- is another
big concern.
"Simultaneous weakness in both stocks and bonds has exposed
the limits of the traditional 60/40 cushion investors have
counted on for decades," said Jon Ulin of Ulin & Co Wealth
Management in Boca Raton.
Several advisors said the challenge is the number and scope
of issues with which they must grapple.
That uncertainty seems to be taking a toll on clients, said
Kirchenbauer, who is anxious that clients are not responding to
her communications.
"Are they numb, overwhelmed, petrified?" she said.