May 2 (Reuters) - Spreads on U.S. high yield bonds, or
the premium companies pay over U.S. Treasuries, remain tight
despite a pick-up in distress within the asset class, as
investors see the majority of issuers weathering
higher-for-longer interest rates.
Elevated rates and persistent inflation have eaten into the
bottom lines of many U.S. corporate borrowers, particularly
those with high leverage and lower credit ratings.
The dollar volume of defaulted debt rose to over $33 billion
in the first quarter from roughly $19 billion in the fourth
quarter of 2023, according to a Monday report by Moody's
Ratings.
In addition, the default rate among junk-rated borrowers
came in at 5.8% over the last 12 months, its highest in three
years, Moody's noted.
High-yield bond spreads widened 3 basis points on May 1 but
they have tightened 33 basis points so far this year, according
to the ICE BofA High Yield index.
Distressed exchanges continue to play a significant role in
these defaults. There have been $12.8 billion in distressed
exchanges so far this year, on pace to beat out the $35.2
billion record high reached in 2008, according to a Thursday
research note by JPMorgan.
The volume of distressed exchanges so far in 2024 accounts
for half of all default volume, also on pace to be the highest
percentage on record.
Despite a pickup in distress, U.S. high-yield spreads have
narrowed in recent weeks. The ICE BofA High Yield Index
Option-Adjusted Spread stood at 3.21% on Wednesday, down 21
basis points from their April high of 3.42%.
"Some of the companies that have defaulted either
technically or actually entered bankruptcy thus far in the
credit cycle are the ones that were weaker fundamentally heading
into this cycle," said Sinjin Bowron, portfolio manager and head
of high yield and leveraged loan strategies at investment firm
Beach Point Capital Management.
"So there haven't been any real surprises in the market yet,
and I think that's one reason why spreads have been generally
range-bound over the past several months," he said.
Treasury bonds rallied on Thursday following Fed Chair
Jerome Powell's Wednesday remarks that while the central bank
was unlikely to raise rates further, they could potentially
remain steady in the 5.25% to 5.50% range that has been in place
since July as inflation remains persistent.
High-yield bonds have provided a yield to maturity of 8.18%
so far this year, according to the S&P U.S. High Yield Corporate
Bond Index.
"Obviously any increase in default distress is concerning,"
said Andrew Bellis, head of private debt at private equity firm
Partners Group.
"But I think if you have to put it in comparison with where
you're coming from, the overall returns in the asset class are
still very attractive," he said.