NEW YORK, March 18 (Reuters) - U.S. home builder
confidence rose in March to the highest level since July due to
lower mortgage rates and an improved pricing environment amid a
continued existing home inventory shortage, the National
Association of Home Builders said on Monday.
The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index of builder
confidence rose to 51 this month from an unrevised 48 in
February. A Reuters poll showed economists expected the outlook
to remain unchanged at 48 in March.
"Buyer demand remains brisk and we expect more consumers to
jump off the sidelines and into the marketplace if mortgage
rates continue to fall later this year," NAHB Chairman Carl
Harris said in a statement.
Traffic slowed during the second half of last year on the
back of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, which were
launched in March of 2022 in an effort to curb rising inflation.
The monetary policy tightening drove the average rate on the
30-year fixed-rate mortgage to two-decade highs near 8% in
October.
With the U.S. central bank likely near the end of its rate
hiking cycle, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.74% for
the week ended March 14, according to Freddie Mac. The drop has
drawn buyers from the sidelines, raising the index of
prospective buyers from a 13-month low of 21 in November to 34
in March, the highest since August 2023, according to the NAHB.
The easing of mortgage rates has also allowed builders to
hold off on slashing home prices. As recently as December, more
than a third of builders reported offering price concessions. In
March, that was down to 24%, the lowest level since July 2023,
the NAHB said, but 60% were still offering some form of
incentive.
The boost in builders' sentiment may lead to an increase
in single-family home starts throughout 2024, according to Nancy
Vanden Houten, lead economist at Oxford Economics.
"More than half of home builders continue to offer some
kind of incentive to encourage sales," she said. "Those
incentives, along with a shortage of existing homes for sale and
an increase in single-family housing starts, should support new
home sales in the months ahead."
The U.S. government is scheduled on Tuesday to release
housing starts and building permits data for February, with a
Reuters poll indicating both likely rebounded from their drops
in January. New home sales are expected to have risen for a
third straight month in February, according to another Reuters
poll - that data is due to be released next week.